Idioma:Español
Spain v Czech Republic
Resultado del partido
Spain (Local)
Predicción 78.83%1.27momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -5.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.29%78.57%78.84%80.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.131.181.181.2588.50%85.04%84.75%80.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Czech Republic (Visitante)
Predicción 7.06%14.16momio equitativo
EV +18.33%
Ventaja +1.09%
Kelly +1.16%
Crecimiento +0.213%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 16.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
5.72%7.12%7.15%8.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
10.0013.4013.0016.7510.00%7.46%7.69%5.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 14.11%7.09momio equitativo
EV -1.25%
Ventaja -0.179%
Kelly -0.209%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.04%14.32%14.01%16.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.856.596.757.0017.09%15.18%14.81%14.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Spain (Local): 78.83%; Czech Republic (Visitante): 7.06%; Empate: 14.11%. Para Czech Republic (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 14.16. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 16.75, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +18.33%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (27 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.90%EV -3.04%E -2.47%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 16.75I 5.97%NM 5.72%EV +18.33%E +1.09%K +1.16%G +0.213% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.38%EV -17.48%E -2.99%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-29 11:17 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.71%EV -1.46%E -1.17%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.89%EV +16.56%E +1.00%K +1.07%G +0.177% | 5.92I 16.89%NM 16.41%EV -16.49%E -2.79%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-29 11:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.18%EV -6.98%E -5.92%K -38.79%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +5.97%E +0.398%K +0.426%G +0.025% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -1.25%E -0.179%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 09:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -6.98%E -5.92%K -38.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -1.10%E -0.078%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -4.78%E -0.708%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -6.98%E -5.92%K -38.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -1.10%E -0.078%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -4.78%E -0.708%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 10:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -6.98%E -5.92%K -38.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -1.10%E -0.078%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -4.78%E -0.708%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 09:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -6.98%E -5.92%K -38.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -1.10%E -0.078%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -4.78%E -0.708%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 09:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -6.98%E -5.92%K -38.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -1.10%E -0.078%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -4.78%E -0.708%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 10:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -6.98%E -5.92%K -38.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -1.10%E -0.078%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -4.78%E -0.708%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 10:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -6.98%E -5.92%K -38.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -1.10%E -0.078%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -4.78%E -0.708%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 10:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -6.98%E -5.92%K -38.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -1.10%E -0.078%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -4.78%E -0.708%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 09:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -6.98%E -5.92%K -38.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -1.10%E -0.078%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -4.78%E -0.708%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 10:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -7.77%E -6.64%K -45.71%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -1.10%E -0.078%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -1.25%E -0.179%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-29 12:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -5.41%E -4.50%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -8.16%E -0.628%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -8.31%E -1.28%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 10:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -7.77%E -6.64%K -45.71%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.16%E -0.628%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -1.25%E -0.179%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-29 09:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -7.77%E -6.64%K -45.71%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.16%E -0.628%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -1.25%E -0.179%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-29 12:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -5.41%E -4.50%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -8.16%E -0.628%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -15.36%E -2.56%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-29 11:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -5.41%E -4.50%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -8.16%E -0.628%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -15.36%E -2.56%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-29 11:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -8.56%E -7.38%K -53.49%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -8.16%E -0.628%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -1.25%E -0.179%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-29 12:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.77%E -6.64%K -45.71%G +0.000% | 12.75I 7.84%NM 7.23%EV -9.93%E -0.779%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.97%EV -6.90%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-29 09:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.92%EV -9.35%E -8.13%K -62.31%G +0.000% | 12.75I 7.84%NM 7.12%EV -9.93%E -0.779%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -8.31%E -1.28%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-29 09:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.49%EV -8.56%E -7.38%K -53.49%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV -11.69%E -0.935%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -9.72%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-29 10:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.49%EV -8.56%E -7.38%K -53.49%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV -11.69%E -0.935%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -9.72%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-29 10:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.52%EV -10.14%E -8.89%K -72.39%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.16%EV -11.69%E -0.935%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -11.83%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-29 10:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.36%EV -9.35%E -8.13%K -62.31%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV -15.23%E -1.27%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -1.25%E -0.179%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-29 12:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.88%EV -10.14%E -8.89%K -72.39%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.46%EV -25.82%E -2.46%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.66%EV -8.31%E -1.28%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-29 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 77.29%EV -10.92%E -9.67%K -84.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.73%EV -29.35%E -2.94%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.97%EV -11.83%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-29 09:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 74.89% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 12.56% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 12.56% | 17.1% | 2026-09-29 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 74.89% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 12.56% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 12.56% | 17.1% | 2026-09-29 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 74.89% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 12.56% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 12.56% | 17.1% | 2026-09-29 13:35 |