默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

San Marino v Finland

2026-09-26 16:00 UTC — UEFA Nations League

胜负盘

15 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

San Marino (主队)

预测 3.24%30.87公平赔率
EV +32.81%
优势 +0.800%
Kelly +0.820%
增长率 +0.269%

假设最高赔率为 41.00

博彩公司预测分布
2.36%3.18%3.24%3.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
24.0027.2725.0041.004.17%3.67%4.00%2.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

Finland (客队)

预测 87.58%1.14公平赔率
EV -3.66%
优势 -3.33%
Kelly -36.60%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.10

博彩公司预测分布
84.51%87.11%87.58%88.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.051.081.081.1095.24%92.88%92.59%90.91%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 9.18%10.89公平赔率
EV +0.964%
优势 +0.088%
Kelly +0.096%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 11.00

博彩公司预测分布
8.58%9.71%9.18%11.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.009.7310.0011.0012.50%10.28%10.00%9.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:San Marino (主队):3.24%;Finland (客队):87.58%;平局:9.18%。 对于“San Marino (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为30.87。 有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为41.00,由此产生+32.81%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (15 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Marathon Bet🎯41.00I 2.44%NM 2.36%EV +32.81%E +0.800%K +0.820%G +0.269%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.65%EV -4.54%E -4.16%K -50.39%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.99%EV -1.33%E -0.124%K -0.136%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-20 23:14
FanDuel🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.73%EV +10.14%E +0.298%K +0.307%G +0.031%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.43%EV -8.04%E -7.66%K -160.78%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -3.62%E -0.345%K -0.382%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-20 20:39
Paddy Power🎯31.00I 3.23%NM 2.97%EV +0.420%E +0.014%K +0.014%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.81%EV -8.04%E -7.66%K -160.78%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -8.21%E -0.821%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-20 20:39
1xBet🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV -6.06%E -0.209%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.17%EV -6.29%E -5.88%K -89.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +0.964%E +0.088%K +0.096%G +0.001%6.0%2026-08-20 21:11
Suprabets🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.54%EV -15.78%E -0.607%K -0.631%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 85.90%EV -6.29%E -5.88%K -89.82%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.56%EV -20.15%E -2.32%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-20 20:40
Unibet🎯25.00I 4.00%NM 3.75%EV -19.02%E -0.761%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.87%EV -5.41%E -5.01%K -67.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -8.21%E -0.821%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-20 20:39
BetRivers🎯25.00I 4.00%NM 3.75%EV -19.02%E -0.761%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.87%EV -5.41%E -5.01%K -67.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -8.21%E -0.821%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-20 20:40
Casumo🎯25.00I 4.00%NM 3.75%EV -19.02%E -0.761%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.87%EV -5.41%E -5.01%K -67.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -8.21%E -0.821%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-20 20:39
PMU (FR)🎯25.00I 4.00%NM 3.75%EV -19.02%E -0.761%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.87%EV -5.41%E -5.01%K -67.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -8.21%E -0.821%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-20 20:39
ATG (SE)🎯25.00I 4.00%NM 3.75%EV -19.02%E -0.761%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.87%EV -5.41%E -5.01%K -67.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -8.21%E -0.821%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-20 20:39
Svenska Spel🎯25.00I 4.00%NM 3.75%EV -19.02%E -0.761%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.87%EV -5.41%E -5.01%K -67.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -8.21%E -0.821%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-20 20:39
LiveScore Bet🎯25.00I 4.00%NM 3.70%EV -19.02%E -0.761%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.55%EV -6.29%E -5.88%K -89.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -12.80%E -1.35%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-20 20:39
Virgin Bet🎯25.00I 4.00%NM 3.70%EV -19.02%E -0.761%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.55%EV -6.29%E -5.88%K -89.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -12.80%E -1.35%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-20 20:40
Betsson🎯24.00I 4.17%NM 3.87%EV -22.26%E -0.927%K -0.968%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -3.66%E -3.33%K -36.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -26.57%E -3.32%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-21 01:39
NordicBet🎯24.00I 4.17%NM 3.87%EV -22.26%E -0.927%K -0.968%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -3.66%E -3.33%K -36.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -26.57%E -3.32%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-21 01:39
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13%1.07I 93.46%NM 33.75%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13%176.9%2026-08-20 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13%1.07I 93.46%NM 33.75%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13%176.9%2026-08-20 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 33.32%1.05I 95.24%NM 32.69%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.98%191.3%2026-08-20 20:39

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