语言:简体中文
San Marino v Finland
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
San Marino (主队)
预测 2.58%38.77公平赔率
EV +41.84%
优势 +0.761%
Kelly +0.775%
增长率 +0.324%
假设最高赔率为 55.00
博彩公司预测分布
1.69%2.62%2.62%3.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
24.0034.1731.0055.004.17%2.93%3.23%1.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
Finland (客队)
预测 89.34%1.12公平赔率
EV -3.51%
优势 -3.25%
Kelly -43.91%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.08
博彩公司预测分布
84.39%88.88%89.46%89.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.011.051.061.0899.01%94.90%94.34%92.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 8.08%12.37公平赔率
EV +5.06%
优势 +0.389%
Kelly +0.421%
增长率 +0.021%
假设最高赔率为 13.00
博彩公司预测分布
7.33%8.50%7.92%11.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.2511.1111.5013.0013.79%9.00%8.70%7.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：San Marino (主队)：2.58%；Finland (客队)：89.34%；平局：8.08%。 对于“San Marino (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为38.77。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为55.00，对应+41.84%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.69%EV +41.84%E +0.761%K +0.775%G +0.324% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.71%EV -4.41%E -4.12%K -62.95%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -35.35%E -4.42%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-26 15:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.69%EV +41.84%E +0.761%K +0.775%G +0.324% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.71%EV -4.41%E -4.12%K -62.95%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -35.35%E -4.42%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-26 15:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 52.00I 1.92%NM 1.83%EV +34.11%E +0.656%K +0.669%G +0.228% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.09%EV -4.41%E -4.12%K -62.95%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV -15.15%E -1.44%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-26 15:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.09%EV +18.63%E +0.405%K +0.414%G +0.077% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.15%EV -3.51%E -3.25%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV -11.11%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +18.63%E +0.405%K +0.414%G +0.077% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.33%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -11.11%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.32%EV +5.74%E +0.140%K +0.143%G +0.008% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.75%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV -3.02%E -0.252%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.30%EV +5.74%E +0.140%K +0.143%G +0.008% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.11%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -11.11%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-26 15:47 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.61%EV -7.16%E -0.199%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.19%E -5.90%K -123.87%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -3.02%E -0.252%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-26 15:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.83%EV -12.31%E -0.362%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%EV -4.41%E -4.12%K -62.95%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.39%EV +5.06%E +0.389%K +0.421%G +0.021% | 4.1% | 2026-09-26 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.81%EV -12.31%E -0.362%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.23%EV -4.41%E -4.12%K -62.95%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.96%EV -3.02%E -0.252%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-26 15:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.80%EV -12.31%E -0.362%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +5.06%E +0.389%K +0.421%G +0.021% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.78%EV -12.31%E -0.362%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.32%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -3.02%E -0.252%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 15:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -20.05%E -0.647%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.37%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV +1.02%E +0.081%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -20.05%E -0.647%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.37%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV +1.02%E +0.081%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -20.05%E -0.647%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.37%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV +1.02%E +0.081%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -20.05%E -0.647%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.37%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV +1.02%E +0.081%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 31.00I 3.23%NM 2.97%EV -20.05%E -0.647%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.65%EV -7.09%E -6.81%K -177.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -11.11%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-26 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.05%EV -22.63%E -0.754%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.98%EV -7.98%E -7.75%K -266.00%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.97%EV -7.06%E -0.614%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.05%EV -22.63%E -0.754%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.98%EV -7.98%E -7.75%K -266.00%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.97%EV -7.06%E -0.614%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.03%EV -22.63%E -0.754%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.40%EV -7.09%E -6.81%K -177.17%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -23.23%E -2.44%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 30.00I 3.33%NM 2.99%EV -22.63%E -0.754%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 88.85%EV -9.77%E -9.67%K -976.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -11.11%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.23%EV -25.21%E -0.869%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.27%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.51%EV -11.11%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-26 15:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.23%EV -25.21%E -0.869%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.27%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.51%EV -11.11%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-26 15:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -32.95%E -1.27%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -3.51%E -3.25%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -19.19%E -1.92%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV -32.95%E -1.27%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -7.09%E -6.81%K -177.17%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -3.02%E -0.252%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.54%EV -32.95%E -1.27%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.78%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -23.23%E -2.44%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-26 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 24.00I 4.17%NM 3.80%EV -38.10%E -1.59%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -7.98%E -7.75%K -266.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.60%EV -3.02%E -0.252%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-26 15:58 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 24.00I 4.17%NM 3.79%EV -38.10%E -1.59%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.30%EV -7.98%E -7.75%K -266.00%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV -7.06%E -0.614%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 24.00I 4.17%NM 3.62%EV -38.10%E -1.59%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.98%E -7.75%K -266.00%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 11.99%EV -41.41%E -5.71%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 60.00I 1.67%NM 1.67% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.67% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.66% | 0.1% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.99% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.37% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.64% | 0.4% | 2026-09-26 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.99% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.37% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.64% | 0.4% | 2026-09-26 15:40 |