Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

San Marino v Finland

Inizio: 2026-09-26 16:01 UTC

Finale: San Marino 0–7 Finland

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

29 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

San Marino (Casa)

Previsione 2.58%38.77quota equa
EV +41.84%
Vantaggio +0.761%
Kelly +0.775%
Crescita +0.324%

ipotizzando la quota massima 55.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
1.69%2.62%2.62%3.80%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
24.0034.1731.0055.004.17%2.93%3.23%1.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Finland (Trasferta)

Previsione 89.34%1.12quota equa
EV -3.51%
Vantaggio -3.25%
Kelly -43.91%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
84.39%88.88%89.46%89.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.011.051.061.0899.01%94.90%94.34%92.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 8.08%12.37quota equa
EV +5.06%
Vantaggio +0.389%
Kelly +0.421%
Crescita +0.021%

ipotizzando la quota massima 13.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.33%8.50%7.92%11.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
7.2511.1111.5013.0013.79%9.00%8.70%7.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: San Marino (Casa): 2.58%; Finland (Trasferta): 89.34%; Pareggio: 8.08%. Per San Marino (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 38.77. 7 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 55.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +41.84%.

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betsson🎯55.00I 1.82%NM 1.69%EV +41.84%E +0.761%K +0.775%G +0.324%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.71%EV -4.41%E -4.12%K -62.95%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -35.35%E -4.42%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-26 15:50
NordicBet🎯55.00I 1.82%NM 1.69%EV +41.84%E +0.761%K +0.775%G +0.324%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.71%EV -4.41%E -4.12%K -62.95%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -35.35%E -4.42%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-26 15:50
1xBet🎯52.00I 1.92%NM 1.83%EV +34.11%E +0.656%K +0.669%G +0.228%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.09%EV -4.41%E -4.12%K -62.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV -15.15%E -1.44%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-26 15:54
Marathon Bet🎯46.00I 2.17%NM 2.09%EV +18.63%E +0.405%K +0.414%G +0.077%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.15%EV -3.51%E -3.25%K -43.91%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV -11.11%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-26 16:00
William Hill🎯46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +18.63%E +0.405%K +0.414%G +0.077%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.33%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -11.11%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 15:55
DraftKings🎯41.00I 2.44%NM 2.32%EV +5.74%E +0.140%K +0.143%G +0.008%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.75%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV -3.02%E -0.252%K -0.275%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 16:00
Suprabets🎯41.00I 2.44%NM 2.30%EV +5.74%E +0.140%K +0.143%G +0.008%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.11%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -11.11%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 15:47
FanDuel🎯36.00I 2.78%NM 2.61%EV -7.16%E -0.199%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.19%E -5.90%K -123.87%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -3.02%E -0.252%K -0.275%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-26 15:49
Coral🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.83%EV -12.31%E -0.362%K -0.373%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%EV -4.41%E -4.12%K -62.95%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.39%EV +5.06%E +0.389%K +0.421%G +0.021%4.1%2026-09-26 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.81%EV -12.31%E -0.362%K -0.373%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.23%EV -4.41%E -4.12%K -62.95%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.96%EV -3.02%E -0.252%K -0.275%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.80%EV -12.31%E -0.362%K -0.373%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +5.06%E +0.389%K +0.421%G +0.021%5.0%2026-09-26 16:00
BoyleSports🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.78%EV -12.31%E -0.362%K -0.373%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.32%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -3.02%E -0.252%K -0.275%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 15:59
Unibet🎯31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -20.05%E -0.647%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.37%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV +1.02%E +0.081%K +0.088%G +0.001%5.6%2026-09-26 15:55
BetRivers🎯31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -20.05%E -0.647%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.37%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV +1.02%E +0.081%K +0.088%G +0.001%5.6%2026-09-26 15:55
Casumo🎯31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -20.05%E -0.647%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.37%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV +1.02%E +0.081%K +0.088%G +0.001%5.6%2026-09-26 15:55
Svenska Spel🎯31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -20.05%E -0.647%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.37%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV +1.02%E +0.081%K +0.088%G +0.001%5.6%2026-09-26 15:55
Paddy Power🎯31.00I 3.23%NM 2.97%EV -20.05%E -0.647%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.65%EV -7.09%E -6.81%K -177.17%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -11.11%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-26 15:10
LiveScore Bet🎯30.00I 3.33%NM 3.05%EV -22.63%E -0.754%K -0.780%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 88.98%EV -7.98%E -7.75%K -266.00%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.97%EV -7.06%E -0.614%K -0.673%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-26 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯30.00I 3.33%NM 3.05%EV -22.63%E -0.754%K -0.780%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 88.98%EV -7.98%E -7.75%K -266.00%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.97%EV -7.06%E -0.614%K -0.673%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-26 16:00
LeoVegas🎯30.00I 3.33%NM 3.03%EV -22.63%E -0.754%K -0.780%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 87.40%EV -7.09%E -6.81%K -177.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -23.23%E -2.44%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-26 16:00
PMU (FR)🎯30.00I 3.33%NM 2.99%EV -22.63%E -0.754%K -0.780%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 88.85%EV -9.77%E -9.67%K -976.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -11.11%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-26 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.23%EV -25.21%E -0.869%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.27%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.51%EV -11.11%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 15:25
Neds🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.23%EV -25.21%E -0.869%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.27%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.51%EV -11.11%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 15:25
TAB🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -32.95%E -1.27%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -3.51%E -3.25%K -43.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -19.19%E -1.92%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 15:55
Winamax (DE)🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV -32.95%E -1.27%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -7.09%E -6.81%K -177.17%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -3.02%E -0.252%K -0.275%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-26 16:00
betfred_uk🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.54%EV -32.95%E -1.27%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.78%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -23.23%E -2.44%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-26 15:50
Bovada🎯24.00I 4.17%NM 3.80%EV -38.10%E -1.59%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -7.98%E -7.75%K -266.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.60%EV -3.02%E -0.252%K -0.275%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-26 15:58
Winamax (FR)🎯24.00I 4.17%NM 3.79%EV -38.10%E -1.59%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 88.30%EV -7.98%E -7.75%K -266.00%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV -7.06%E -0.614%K -0.673%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-26 15:55
Betclic (FR)🎯24.00I 4.17%NM 3.62%EV -38.10%E -1.59%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.98%E -7.75%K -266.00%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 11.99%EV -41.41%E -5.71%K -6.63%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-26 16:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎60.00I 1.67%NM 1.67%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.67%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.66%0.1%2026-09-26 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎50.00I 2.00%NM 1.99%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.37%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.64%0.4%2026-09-26 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎50.00I 2.00%NM 1.99%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.37%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.64%0.4%2026-09-26 15:40