Langue:Français
San Marino v Finland
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
San Marino (Local)
Prévision 2.58%38.77cote équitable
EV +41.84%
Avantage +0.761%
Kelly +0.775%
Croissance +0.324%
avec la cote maximale 55.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
1.69%2.62%2.62%3.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
24.0034.1731.0055.004.17%2.93%3.23%1.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Finland (Visiteur)
Prévision 89.34%1.12cote équitable
EV -3.51%
Avantage -3.25%
Kelly -43.91%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
84.39%88.88%89.46%89.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.011.051.061.0899.01%94.90%94.34%92.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 8.08%12.37cote équitable
EV +5.06%
Avantage +0.389%
Kelly +0.421%
Croissance +0.021%
avec la cote maximale 13.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.33%8.50%7.92%11.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.2511.1111.5013.0013.79%9.00%8.70%7.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : San Marino (Local) : 2.58% ; Finland (Visiteur) : 89.34% ; Match nul : 8.08%. Pour San Marino (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 38.77. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 55.00, soit une espérance positive de +41.84%.
Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.69%EV +41.84%E +0.761%K +0.775%G +0.324% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.71%EV -4.41%E -4.12%K -62.95%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -35.35%E -4.42%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-26 15:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.69%EV +41.84%E +0.761%K +0.775%G +0.324% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.71%EV -4.41%E -4.12%K -62.95%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -35.35%E -4.42%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-26 15:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 52.00I 1.92%NM 1.83%EV +34.11%E +0.656%K +0.669%G +0.228% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.09%EV -4.41%E -4.12%K -62.95%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV -15.15%E -1.44%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-26 15:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.09%EV +18.63%E +0.405%K +0.414%G +0.077% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.15%EV -3.51%E -3.25%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV -11.11%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +18.63%E +0.405%K +0.414%G +0.077% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.33%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -11.11%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.32%EV +5.74%E +0.140%K +0.143%G +0.008% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.75%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV -3.02%E -0.252%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.30%EV +5.74%E +0.140%K +0.143%G +0.008% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.11%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -11.11%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-26 15:47 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.61%EV -7.16%E -0.199%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.19%E -5.90%K -123.87%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -3.02%E -0.252%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-26 15:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.83%EV -12.31%E -0.362%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%EV -4.41%E -4.12%K -62.95%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.39%EV +5.06%E +0.389%K +0.421%G +0.021% | 4.1% | 2026-09-26 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.81%EV -12.31%E -0.362%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.23%EV -4.41%E -4.12%K -62.95%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.96%EV -3.02%E -0.252%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-26 15:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.80%EV -12.31%E -0.362%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +5.06%E +0.389%K +0.421%G +0.021% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.78%EV -12.31%E -0.362%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.32%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -3.02%E -0.252%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 15:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -20.05%E -0.647%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.37%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV +1.02%E +0.081%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -20.05%E -0.647%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.37%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV +1.02%E +0.081%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -20.05%E -0.647%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.37%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV +1.02%E +0.081%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.06%EV -20.05%E -0.647%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.37%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV +1.02%E +0.081%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 31.00I 3.23%NM 2.97%EV -20.05%E -0.647%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.65%EV -7.09%E -6.81%K -177.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -11.11%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-26 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.05%EV -22.63%E -0.754%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.98%EV -7.98%E -7.75%K -266.00%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.97%EV -7.06%E -0.614%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.05%EV -22.63%E -0.754%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.98%EV -7.98%E -7.75%K -266.00%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.97%EV -7.06%E -0.614%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.03%EV -22.63%E -0.754%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.40%EV -7.09%E -6.81%K -177.17%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -23.23%E -2.44%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 30.00I 3.33%NM 2.99%EV -22.63%E -0.754%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 88.85%EV -9.77%E -9.67%K -976.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -11.11%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.23%EV -25.21%E -0.869%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.27%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.51%EV -11.11%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-26 15:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.23%EV -25.21%E -0.869%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.27%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.51%EV -11.11%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-26 15:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -32.95%E -1.27%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -3.51%E -3.25%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -19.19%E -1.92%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV -32.95%E -1.27%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -7.09%E -6.81%K -177.17%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -3.02%E -0.252%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.54%EV -32.95%E -1.27%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.78%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.33%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -23.23%E -2.44%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-26 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 24.00I 4.17%NM 3.80%EV -38.10%E -1.59%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -7.98%E -7.75%K -266.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.60%EV -3.02%E -0.252%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-26 15:58 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 24.00I 4.17%NM 3.79%EV -38.10%E -1.59%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.30%EV -7.98%E -7.75%K -266.00%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV -7.06%E -0.614%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 24.00I 4.17%NM 3.62%EV -38.10%E -1.59%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.98%E -7.75%K -266.00%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 11.99%EV -41.41%E -5.71%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 60.00I 1.67%NM 1.67% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.67% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.66% | 0.1% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.99% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.37% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.64% | 0.4% | 2026-09-26 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.99% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.37% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.64% | 0.4% | 2026-09-26 15:40 |