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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
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Portugal v Wales

開賽時間： 2026-09-24 18:45 UTC

最終賽果： Portugal 1–0 Wales

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

31 家博彩公司 (9 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Portugal (主隊)

預測 82.31%1.21公平賠率
EV -2.88%
優勢 -2.44%
Kelly -15.98%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.18

博彩公司預測分布
80.12%82.17%82.42%84.45%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.111.151.151.1890.09%87.15%86.96%84.75%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Wales (客隊)

預測 5.86%17.06公平賠率
EV +23.07%
優勢 +1.10%
Kelly +1.15%
成長率 +0.266%

假設最高賠率為 21.00

博彩公司預測分布
4.66%5.88%5.82%7.52%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
12.5016.0016.0021.008.00%6.25%6.25%4.76%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 11.83%8.45公平賠率
EV +6.48%
優勢 +0.720%
Kelly +0.810%
成長率 +0.052%

假設最高賠率為 9.00

博彩公司預測分布
10.88%11.95%11.76%13.43%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
7.007.888.009.0014.29%12.69%12.50%11.11%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Portugal (主隊)：82.31%；Wales (客隊)：5.86%；和局：11.83%。 對於「Wales (客隊)」，該估計相當於17.06的公平十進位賠率。 當時有9家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為21.00，對應+23.07%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (31 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 84.45%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.26%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.66%EV +23.07%E +1.10%K +1.15%G +0.266%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.88%EV +6.48%E +0.720%K +0.810%G +0.052%2.1%2026-09-24 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 84.45%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.26%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.66%EV +23.07%E +1.10%K +1.15%G +0.266%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.88%EV +6.48%E +0.720%K +0.810%G +0.052%2.1%2026-09-24 18:10
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.51%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.26%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.10%EV +11.35%E +0.597%K +0.630%G +0.072%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.40%EV +0.561%E +0.066%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-24 18:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.98%EV -7.81%E -6.98%K -65.12%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +11.35%E +0.597%K +0.630%G +0.072%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV +0.561%E +0.066%K +0.075%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-24 18:10
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.44%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.26%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +5.49%E +0.305%K +0.323%G +0.018%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -16.00%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.44%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.26%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +5.49%E +0.305%K +0.323%G +0.018%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -16.00%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 18:00
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -6.99%E -6.19%K -53.78%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV +5.49%E +0.305%K +0.323%G +0.018%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-24 18:10
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -6.99%E -6.19%K -53.78%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV +5.49%E +0.305%K +0.323%G +0.018%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-24 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.91%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.76%G +0.000%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.54%EV +2.56%E +0.146%K +0.155%G +0.004%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.55%EV -0.622%E -0.074%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-24 18:30
1xBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.77%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.76%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV -0.373%E -0.022%K -0.023%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.53%EV -0.622%E -0.074%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-24 18:25
Suprabets🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.55%EV -5.34%E -4.65%K -35.63%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV -0.373%E -0.022%K -0.023%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 16:09
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.04%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.26%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.53%EV -0.373%E -0.022%K -0.023%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -17.18%E -2.45%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-24 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.80%EV -6.99%E -6.19%K -53.78%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -0.373%E -0.022%K -0.023%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-24 18:10
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -6.99%E -6.19%K -53.78%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV -6.23%E -0.390%K -0.416%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-24 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.64%EV -7.81%E -6.98%K -65.12%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -6.23%E -0.390%K -0.416%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-24 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.88%EV -6.99%E -6.19%K -53.78%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV -6.23%E -0.390%K -0.416%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -11.27%E -1.50%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-24 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.14%EV -8.64%E -7.78%K -78.52%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -6.23%E -0.390%K -0.416%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -11.27%E -1.50%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-24 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.14%EV -8.64%E -7.78%K -78.52%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -6.23%E -0.390%K -0.416%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -11.27%E -1.50%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-24 18:10
BoyleSports🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -5.34%E -4.65%K -35.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -12.09%E -0.806%K -0.864%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-24 17:59
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.63%EV -5.34%E -4.65%K -35.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -12.09%E -0.806%K -0.864%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.11%EV -8.31%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-24 17:55
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -6.99%E -6.19%K -53.78%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -12.09%E -0.806%K -0.864%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-24 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.17%E -5.41%K -44.06%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -12.09%E -0.806%K -0.864%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -11.27%E -1.50%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-24 17:45
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -5.34%E -4.65%K -35.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -12.09%E -0.806%K -0.864%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -17.18%E -2.45%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-24 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.50%EV -6.17%E -5.41%K -44.06%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.88%EV -20.88%E -1.55%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-24 18:00
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.76%EV -2.88%E -2.44%K -15.98%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -23.81%E -1.83%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-24 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.89%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -23.81%E -1.83%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-24 17:20
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -2.88%E -2.44%K -15.98%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -23.81%E -1.83%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -11.27%E -1.50%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 18:20
LeoVegas🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -5.34%E -4.65%K -35.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -23.81%E -1.83%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -11.27%E -1.50%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-24 17:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.42%EV -6.99%E -6.19%K -53.78%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -23.81%E -1.83%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-24 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.35%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.76%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.52%EV -26.74%E -2.14%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -8.31%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-24 17:19
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.35%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.76%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.52%EV -26.74%E -2.14%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -8.31%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-24 17:19
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.74%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.83%0.4%2026-09-24 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.74%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.83%0.4%2026-09-24 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.74%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.83%0.4%2026-09-24 18:30