Lingua:Italiano
Portugal v Wales
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Portugal (Casa)
Previsione 82.31%1.21quota equa
EV -2.88%
Vantaggio -2.44%
Kelly -15.98%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.18
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
80.12%82.17%82.42%84.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.111.151.151.1890.09%87.15%86.96%84.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Wales (Trasferta)
Previsione 5.86%17.06quota equa
EV +23.07%
Vantaggio +1.10%
Kelly +1.15%
Crescita +0.266%
ipotizzando la quota massima 21.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
4.66%5.88%5.82%7.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
12.5016.0016.0021.008.00%6.25%6.25%4.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 11.83%8.45quota equa
EV +6.48%
Vantaggio +0.720%
Kelly +0.810%
Crescita +0.052%
ipotizzando la quota massima 9.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.88%11.95%11.76%13.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
7.007.888.009.0014.29%12.69%12.50%11.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Portugal (Casa): 82.31%; Wales (Trasferta): 5.86%; Pareggio: 11.83%. Per Wales (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 17.06. 9 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 21.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +23.07%.
Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.45%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.66%EV +23.07%E +1.10%K +1.15%G +0.266% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.88%EV +6.48%E +0.720%K +0.810%G +0.052% | 2.1% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.45%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.66%EV +23.07%E +1.10%K +1.15%G +0.266% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.88%EV +6.48%E +0.720%K +0.810%G +0.052% | 2.1% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.51%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.10%EV +11.35%E +0.597%K +0.630%G +0.072% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.40%EV +0.561%E +0.066%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-24 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.98%EV -7.81%E -6.98%K -65.12%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +11.35%E +0.597%K +0.630%G +0.072% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV +0.561%E +0.066%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.44%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +5.49%E +0.305%K +0.323%G +0.018% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -16.00%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.44%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +5.49%E +0.305%K +0.323%G +0.018% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -16.00%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -6.99%E -6.19%K -53.78%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV +5.49%E +0.305%K +0.323%G +0.018% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -6.99%E -6.19%K -53.78%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV +5.49%E +0.305%K +0.323%G +0.018% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.91%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.76%G +0.000% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.54%EV +2.56%E +0.146%K +0.155%G +0.004% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.55%EV -0.622%E -0.074%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.77%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.76%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV -0.373%E -0.022%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.53%EV -0.622%E -0.074%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.55%EV -5.34%E -4.65%K -35.63%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV -0.373%E -0.022%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 16:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.04%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.53%EV -0.373%E -0.022%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -17.18%E -2.45%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.80%EV -6.99%E -6.19%K -53.78%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -0.373%E -0.022%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -6.99%E -6.19%K -53.78%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV -6.23%E -0.390%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.64%EV -7.81%E -6.98%K -65.12%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -6.23%E -0.390%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.88%EV -6.99%E -6.19%K -53.78%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV -6.23%E -0.390%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -11.27%E -1.50%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.14%EV -8.64%E -7.78%K -78.52%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -6.23%E -0.390%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -11.27%E -1.50%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.14%EV -8.64%E -7.78%K -78.52%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -6.23%E -0.390%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -11.27%E -1.50%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -5.34%E -4.65%K -35.63%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -12.09%E -0.806%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-24 17:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.63%EV -5.34%E -4.65%K -35.63%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -12.09%E -0.806%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.11%EV -8.31%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-24 17:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -6.99%E -6.19%K -53.78%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -12.09%E -0.806%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.17%E -5.41%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -12.09%E -0.806%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -11.27%E -1.50%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-24 17:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -5.34%E -4.65%K -35.63%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -12.09%E -0.806%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -17.18%E -2.45%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-24 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.50%EV -6.17%E -5.41%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.88%EV -20.88%E -1.55%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-24 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.76%EV -2.88%E -2.44%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -23.81%E -1.83%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-24 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.89%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -23.81%E -1.83%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-24 17:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -2.88%E -2.44%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -23.81%E -1.83%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -11.27%E -1.50%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -5.34%E -4.65%K -35.63%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -23.81%E -1.83%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -11.27%E -1.50%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-24 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.42%EV -6.99%E -6.19%K -53.78%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -23.81%E -1.83%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.35%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.76%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.52%EV -26.74%E -2.14%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -8.31%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-24 17:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.35%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.76%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.52%EV -26.74%E -2.14%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -8.31%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-24 17:19 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.74% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.83% | 0.4% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.74% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.83% | 0.4% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.74% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.83% | 0.4% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |