Langue:Français
Portugal v Wales
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Portugal (Local)
Prévision 82.31%1.21cote équitable
EV -2.88%
Avantage -2.44%
Kelly -15.98%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
80.12%82.17%82.42%84.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.111.151.151.1890.09%87.15%86.96%84.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Wales (Visiteur)
Prévision 5.86%17.06cote équitable
EV +23.07%
Avantage +1.10%
Kelly +1.15%
Croissance +0.266%
avec la cote maximale 21.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
4.66%5.88%5.82%7.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
12.5016.0016.0021.008.00%6.25%6.25%4.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 11.83%8.45cote équitable
EV +6.48%
Avantage +0.720%
Kelly +0.810%
Croissance +0.052%
avec la cote maximale 9.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.88%11.95%11.76%13.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.007.888.009.0014.29%12.69%12.50%11.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Portugal (Local) : 82.31% ; Wales (Visiteur) : 5.86% ; Match nul : 11.83%. Pour Wales (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 17.06. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 21.00, soit une espérance positive de +23.07%.
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.45%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.66%EV +23.07%E +1.10%K +1.15%G +0.266% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.88%EV +6.48%E +0.720%K +0.810%G +0.052% | 2.1% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.45%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.66%EV +23.07%E +1.10%K +1.15%G +0.266% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.88%EV +6.48%E +0.720%K +0.810%G +0.052% | 2.1% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.51%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.10%EV +11.35%E +0.597%K +0.630%G +0.072% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.40%EV +0.561%E +0.066%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-24 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.98%EV -7.81%E -6.98%K -65.12%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +11.35%E +0.597%K +0.630%G +0.072% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV +0.561%E +0.066%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.44%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +5.49%E +0.305%K +0.323%G +0.018% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -16.00%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.44%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +5.49%E +0.305%K +0.323%G +0.018% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -16.00%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -6.99%E -6.19%K -53.78%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV +5.49%E +0.305%K +0.323%G +0.018% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -6.99%E -6.19%K -53.78%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV +5.49%E +0.305%K +0.323%G +0.018% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.91%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.76%G +0.000% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.54%EV +2.56%E +0.146%K +0.155%G +0.004% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.55%EV -0.622%E -0.074%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.77%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.76%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV -0.373%E -0.022%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.53%EV -0.622%E -0.074%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.55%EV -5.34%E -4.65%K -35.63%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV -0.373%E -0.022%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 16:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.04%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.53%EV -0.373%E -0.022%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -17.18%E -2.45%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.80%EV -6.99%E -6.19%K -53.78%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -0.373%E -0.022%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -6.99%E -6.19%K -53.78%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV -6.23%E -0.390%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.64%EV -7.81%E -6.98%K -65.12%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -6.23%E -0.390%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.88%EV -6.99%E -6.19%K -53.78%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV -6.23%E -0.390%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -11.27%E -1.50%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.14%EV -8.64%E -7.78%K -78.52%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -6.23%E -0.390%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -11.27%E -1.50%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.14%EV -8.64%E -7.78%K -78.52%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -6.23%E -0.390%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -11.27%E -1.50%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -5.34%E -4.65%K -35.63%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -12.09%E -0.806%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-24 17:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.63%EV -5.34%E -4.65%K -35.63%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -12.09%E -0.806%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.11%EV -8.31%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-24 17:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -6.99%E -6.19%K -53.78%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -12.09%E -0.806%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.17%E -5.41%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -12.09%E -0.806%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -11.27%E -1.50%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-24 17:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -5.34%E -4.65%K -35.63%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -12.09%E -0.806%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -17.18%E -2.45%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-24 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.50%EV -6.17%E -5.41%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.88%EV -20.88%E -1.55%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-24 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.76%EV -2.88%E -2.44%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -23.81%E -1.83%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-24 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.89%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -23.81%E -1.83%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-24 17:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -2.88%E -2.44%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -23.81%E -1.83%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -11.27%E -1.50%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -5.34%E -4.65%K -35.63%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -23.81%E -1.83%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -11.27%E -1.50%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-24 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.42%EV -6.99%E -6.19%K -53.78%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -23.81%E -1.83%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -5.35%E -0.669%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.35%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.76%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.52%EV -26.74%E -2.14%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -8.31%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-24 17:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.35%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.76%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.52%EV -26.74%E -2.14%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -8.31%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-24 17:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.74% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.83% | 0.4% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.74% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.83% | 0.4% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.74% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.83% | 0.4% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |