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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
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Poland v Romania

2026-10-02 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

獨贏

32 家博彩公司 (11 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Poland (主隊)

預測 58.86%1.70公平賠率
EV -4.05%
優勢 -2.49%
Kelly -6.43%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.63

博彩公司預測分布
57.85%58.90%58.88%60.69%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.501.571.561.6366.67%63.78%63.90%61.35%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Romania (客隊)

預測 17.60%5.68公平賠率
EV -0.379%
優勢 -0.067%
Kelly -0.081%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 5.66

博彩公司預測分布
16.55%17.58%17.59%18.71%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.705.245.255.6621.28%19.07%19.05%17.67%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 23.54%4.25公平賠率
EV -1.15%
優勢 -0.273%
Kelly -0.359%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.20

博彩公司預測分布
22.76%23.52%23.53%24.41%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.753.953.954.2026.67%25.33%25.32%23.81%最小值平均值中位數最大值

對於獨贏，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)估計各選項的機率為：Poland (主隊)：58.86%；Romania (客隊)：17.60%；和局：23.54%。 對於「Romania (客隊)」，該估計相當於5.68的公平十進位賠率。 沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的賠率：目前最佳賠率為5.66，期望值為-0.379%，未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (32 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.50%EV -4.05%E -2.49%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 17.13%EV -0.379%E -0.067%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.37%EV -2.33%E -0.560%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-29 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.51%EV -4.64%E -2.87%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.53%EV -3.19%E -0.581%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%EV -1.15%E -0.273%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-29 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.51%EV -4.64%E -2.87%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.53%EV -3.19%E -0.581%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%EV -1.15%E -0.273%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-29 12:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.51%EV -4.64%E -2.87%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.53%EV -3.19%E -0.581%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%EV -1.15%E -0.273%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-29 12:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.52%EV -5.23%E -3.25%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.11%EV -1.43%E -0.256%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -3.50%E -0.854%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-29 12:40
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.00%EV -5.82%E -3.64%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -7.59%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -3.50%E -0.854%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 12:44
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.00%EV -5.82%E -3.64%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -7.59%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -3.50%E -0.854%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 12:45
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.00%EV -5.82%E -3.64%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -7.59%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -3.50%E -0.854%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 12:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.82%E -3.64%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.59%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-29 09:00
LeoVegas🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.86%EV -7.00%E -4.43%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.89%EV -8.47%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-29 10:45
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.00%E -4.43%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -3.19%E -0.581%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-29 12:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.13%EV -7.00%E -4.43%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -9.39%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-29 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.64%EV -7.59%E -4.83%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-29 12:45
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.64%EV -7.59%E -4.83%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-29 12:45
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.59%E -4.83%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-29 12:39
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.59%E -4.83%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-29 12:40
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.92%EV -8.17%E -5.24%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -7.59%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.21%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-29 12:15
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -8.17%E -5.24%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-29 12:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -8.17%E -5.24%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -9.39%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-29 12:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -8.17%E -5.24%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -9.39%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-29 12:45
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -8.76%E -5.65%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -7.59%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-29 12:05
Suprabets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.22%EV -8.76%E -5.65%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -4.95%E -0.918%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 23.78%EV -9.15%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-29 12:07
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -8.76%E -5.65%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -3.19%E -0.581%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-29 12:10
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.72%EV -8.76%E -5.65%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -7.59%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-29 12:49
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.72%EV -8.76%E -5.65%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -7.59%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-29 12:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.53%EV -8.76%E -5.65%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.69%EV -9.86%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-29 10:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.11%EV -9.35%E -6.07%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -15.52%E -3.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -9.39%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-29 10:45
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -9.94%E -6.50%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -3.19%E -0.581%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-29 12:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.85%EV -10.53%E -6.93%K -20.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71%EV -17.28%E -3.68%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-29 10:45
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.53%EV -11.12%E -7.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -3.19%E -0.581%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-29 12:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.63%EV -11.12%E -7.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.07%EV -13.76%E -2.81%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-29 12:45
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.71%E -7.80%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -3.19%E -0.581%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-29 12:09
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 60.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%3.6%2026-09-29 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 60.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%3.6%2026-09-29 14:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 60.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%3.6%2026-09-29 14:00