StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Poland v Romania

2026-10-02 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Matchresultat

32 spelbolag (11 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Poland (Hemma)

Prognos 58.86%1.70rättvist odds
EV -4.05%
Fördel -2.49%
Kelly -6.43%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.63

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
57.85%58.90%58.88%60.69%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.501.571.561.6366.67%63.78%63.90%61.35%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Romania (Borta)

Prognos 17.60%5.68rättvist odds
EV -0.379%
Fördel -0.067%
Kelly -0.081%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.66

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.55%17.58%17.59%18.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.705.245.255.6621.28%19.07%19.05%17.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 23.54%4.25rättvist odds
EV -1.15%
Fördel -0.273%
Kelly -0.359%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.76%23.52%23.53%24.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.753.953.954.2026.67%25.33%25.32%23.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Poland (Hemma): 58.86%; Romania (Borta): 17.60%; Oavgjort: 23.54%. För Romania (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.68. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 5.66, med väntevärdet -0.379%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (32 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.50%EV -4.05%E -2.49%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 17.13%EV -0.379%E -0.067%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.37%EV -2.33%E -0.560%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-29 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.51%EV -4.64%E -2.87%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.53%EV -3.19%E -0.581%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%EV -1.15%E -0.273%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-29 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.51%EV -4.64%E -2.87%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.53%EV -3.19%E -0.581%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%EV -1.15%E -0.273%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-29 12:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.51%EV -4.64%E -2.87%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.53%EV -3.19%E -0.581%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%EV -1.15%E -0.273%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-29 12:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.52%EV -5.23%E -3.25%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.11%EV -1.43%E -0.256%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -3.50%E -0.854%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-29 12:40
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.00%EV -5.82%E -3.64%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -7.59%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -3.50%E -0.854%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 12:44
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.00%EV -5.82%E -3.64%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -7.59%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -3.50%E -0.854%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 12:45
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.00%EV -5.82%E -3.64%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -7.59%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -3.50%E -0.854%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 12:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.82%E -3.64%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.59%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-29 09:00
LeoVegas🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.86%EV -7.00%E -4.43%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.89%EV -8.47%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-29 10:45
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.00%E -4.43%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -3.19%E -0.581%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-29 12:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.13%EV -7.00%E -4.43%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -9.39%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-29 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.64%EV -7.59%E -4.83%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-29 12:45
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.64%EV -7.59%E -4.83%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-29 12:45
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.59%E -4.83%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-29 12:39
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.59%E -4.83%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-29 12:40
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.92%EV -8.17%E -5.24%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -7.59%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.21%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-29 12:15
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -8.17%E -5.24%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-29 12:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -8.17%E -5.24%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -9.39%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-29 12:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -8.17%E -5.24%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -9.39%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-29 12:45
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -8.76%E -5.65%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -7.59%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-29 12:05
Suprabets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.22%EV -8.76%E -5.65%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -4.95%E -0.918%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 23.78%EV -9.15%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-29 12:07
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -8.76%E -5.65%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -3.19%E -0.581%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-29 12:10
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.72%EV -8.76%E -5.65%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -7.59%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-29 12:49
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.72%EV -8.76%E -5.65%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -7.59%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-29 12:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.53%EV -8.76%E -5.65%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.69%EV -9.86%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-29 10:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.11%EV -9.35%E -6.07%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -15.52%E -3.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -9.39%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-29 10:45
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -9.94%E -6.50%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -3.19%E -0.581%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-29 12:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.85%EV -10.53%E -6.93%K -20.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71%EV -17.28%E -3.68%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-29 10:45
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.53%EV -11.12%E -7.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -3.19%E -0.581%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-29 12:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.63%EV -11.12%E -7.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.07%EV -13.76%E -2.81%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-29 12:45
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.71%E -7.80%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -3.19%E -0.581%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-29 12:09
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 60.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%3.6%2026-09-29 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 60.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%3.6%2026-09-29 14:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 60.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%3.6%2026-09-29 14:00