Idioma:Español
Poland v Romania
Resultado del partido
Poland (Local)
Predicción 58.86%1.70momio equitativo
EV -4.05%
Ventaja -2.49%
Kelly -6.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.85%58.90%58.88%60.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.571.561.6366.67%63.78%63.90%61.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Romania (Visitante)
Predicción 17.60%5.68momio equitativo
EV -0.379%
Ventaja -0.067%
Kelly -0.081%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.55%17.58%17.59%18.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.705.245.255.6621.28%19.07%19.05%17.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 23.54%4.25momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.273%
Kelly -0.359%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.76%23.52%23.53%24.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.753.953.954.2026.67%25.33%25.32%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Poland (Local): 58.86%; Romania (Visitante): 17.60%; Empate: 23.54%. Para Romania (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 5.68. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 5.66, con un valor esperado de -0.379%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (32 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.50%EV -4.05%E -2.49%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.66I 17.67%NM 17.13%EV -0.379%E -0.067%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.37%EV -2.33%E -0.560%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-29 12:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.51%EV -4.64%E -2.87%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.53%EV -3.19%E -0.581%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%EV -1.15%E -0.273%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-29 12:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.51%EV -4.64%E -2.87%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.53%EV -3.19%E -0.581%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%EV -1.15%E -0.273%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-29 12:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.51%EV -4.64%E -2.87%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.53%EV -3.19%E -0.581%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%EV -1.15%E -0.273%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-29 12:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.52%EV -5.23%E -3.25%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.11%EV -1.43%E -0.256%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -3.50%E -0.854%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-29 12:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.00%EV -5.82%E -3.64%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -7.59%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -3.50%E -0.854%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 12:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.00%EV -5.82%E -3.64%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -7.59%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -3.50%E -0.854%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 12:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.00%EV -5.82%E -3.64%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -7.59%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -3.50%E -0.854%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 12:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.82%E -3.64%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.59%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-29 09:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.86%EV -7.00%E -4.43%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.89%EV -8.47%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-29 10:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.00%E -4.43%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -3.19%E -0.581%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 12:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.13%EV -7.00%E -4.43%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -9.39%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-29 10:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.64%EV -7.59%E -4.83%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-29 12:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.64%EV -7.59%E -4.83%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-29 12:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.59%E -4.83%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-29 12:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.59%E -4.83%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-29 12:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.92%EV -8.17%E -5.24%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -7.59%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.21%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-29 12:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -8.17%E -5.24%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-29 12:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -8.17%E -5.24%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -9.39%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-29 12:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -8.17%E -5.24%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -9.39%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-29 12:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -8.76%E -5.65%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -7.59%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-29 12:05 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.22%EV -8.76%E -5.65%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -4.95%E -0.918%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 23.78%EV -9.15%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-29 12:07 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -8.76%E -5.65%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -3.19%E -0.581%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-29 12:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.72%EV -8.76%E -5.65%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -7.59%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-29 12:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.72%EV -8.76%E -5.65%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -7.59%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-29 12:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.53%EV -8.76%E -5.65%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.69%EV -9.86%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-29 10:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.11%EV -9.35%E -6.07%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -15.52%E -3.23%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -9.39%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-29 10:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -9.94%E -6.50%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -3.19%E -0.581%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-29 12:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.85%EV -10.53%E -6.93%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71%EV -17.28%E -3.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -11.74%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-29 10:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.53%EV -11.12%E -7.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -3.19%E -0.581%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-29 12:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.63%EV -11.12%E -7.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.07%EV -13.76%E -2.81%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-29 12:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.71%E -7.80%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -3.19%E -0.581%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-29 12:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.35% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55% | 3.6% | 2026-09-29 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.35% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55% | 3.6% | 2026-09-29 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.35% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55% | 3.6% | 2026-09-29 14:00 |