Language:English
Norway v Denmark
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Norway (Local)
Prediction 58.66%1.70fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -4.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.91%58.79%58.68%60.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.591.601.6565.36%62.91%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Denmark (Visit)
Prediction 18.97%5.27fair odd
EV +4.33%
Edge +0.787%
Kelly +0.962%
Growth +0.042%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.68%18.99%18.94%20.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.964.955.5023.09%20.18%20.20%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.37%4.47fair odd
EV +0.656%
Edge +0.146%
Kelly +0.187%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.09%22.22%22.38%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.244.204.5025.00%23.60%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Norway (Local): 58.66%; Denmark (Visit): 18.97%; Draw: 22.37%. For Denmark (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.27. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.33%.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.59%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.74%EV +4.33%E +0.787%K +0.962%G +0.042% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68%EV +0.656%E +0.146%K +0.187%G +0.001% | 2.5% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.59%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.74%EV +4.33%E +0.787%K +0.962%G +0.042% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68%EV +0.656%E +0.146%K +0.187%G +0.001% | 2.5% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -0.415%E -0.079%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.05%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -8.48%E -5.44%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -0.415%E -0.079%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.05%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV -1.36%E -0.262%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -6.05%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-24 17:53 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -9.07%E -5.85%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -1.36%E -0.262%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.13%EV -3.79%E -2.31%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.83%EV -2.31%E -0.449%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%EV -1.58%E -0.359%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.51%EV -3.21%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.78%EV -2.50%E -0.487%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.71%EV -4.94%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -9.07%E -5.85%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -3.26%E -0.639%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.76%EV -3.21%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.20%EV -4.21%E -0.833%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%EV -1.58%E -0.359%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.04%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -5.16%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -3.15%E -0.727%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.16%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.05%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.18%EV -10.24%E -6.70%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -5.16%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -3.82%E -0.888%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -10.24%E -6.70%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -5.16%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -10.24%E -6.70%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -5.16%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -4.97%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.00%EV -6.11%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -4.97%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -7.05%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.68%EV -7.17%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -4.97%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -7.05%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.68%EV -7.17%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -7.05%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -6.05%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.72%EV -6.72%E -4.23%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -7.05%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -6.05%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.40%EV -6.72%E -4.23%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -7.05%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.93%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -8.95%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -1.58%E -0.359%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.93%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -8.95%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -1.58%E -0.359%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.73%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -8.95%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.15%E -0.727%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-24 18:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.47%EV -9.07%E -5.85%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -8.95%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-24 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -4.97%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -9.90%E -2.08%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.05%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -9.90%E -2.08%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -4.94%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -7.31%E -4.63%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -10.85%E -2.31%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -1.58%E -0.359%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.73%EV -7.31%E -4.63%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -12.74%E -2.77%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.09%EV -1.58%E -0.359%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.19%EV -7.31%E -4.63%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -14.64%E -3.25%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -3.82%E -0.888%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -10.24%E -6.70%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -17.87%E -4.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -6.05%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-24 17:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.71% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.13% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.16% | 0.3% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.41% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 0.8% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.41% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 0.8% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |