Langue:Français
Norway v Denmark
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Norway (Local)
Prévision 58.66%1.70cote équitable
EV -3.21%
Avantage -1.94%
Kelly -4.93%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.91%58.79%58.68%60.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.591.601.6565.36%62.91%62.50%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Denmark (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.97%5.27cote équitable
EV +4.33%
Avantage +0.787%
Kelly +0.962%
Croissance +0.042%
avec la cote maximale 5.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.68%18.99%18.94%20.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.334.964.955.5023.09%20.18%20.20%18.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 22.37%4.47cote équitable
EV +0.656%
Avantage +0.146%
Kelly +0.187%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.09%22.22%22.38%22.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.244.204.5025.00%23.60%23.81%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Norway (Local) : 58.66% ; Denmark (Visiteur) : 18.97% ; Match nul : 22.37%. Pour Denmark (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.27. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.50, soit une espérance positive de +4.33%.
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.59%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.74%EV +4.33%E +0.787%K +0.962%G +0.042% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68%EV +0.656%E +0.146%K +0.187%G +0.001% | 2.5% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.59%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.74%EV +4.33%E +0.787%K +0.962%G +0.042% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68%EV +0.656%E +0.146%K +0.187%G +0.001% | 2.5% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -0.415%E -0.079%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.05%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -8.48%E -5.44%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -0.415%E -0.079%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.05%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV -1.36%E -0.262%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -6.05%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-24 17:53 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -9.07%E -5.85%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -1.36%E -0.262%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.13%EV -3.79%E -2.31%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.83%EV -2.31%E -0.449%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%EV -1.58%E -0.359%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.51%EV -3.21%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.78%EV -2.50%E -0.487%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.71%EV -4.94%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -9.07%E -5.85%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -3.26%E -0.639%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.76%EV -3.21%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.20%EV -4.21%E -0.833%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%EV -1.58%E -0.359%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.04%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -5.16%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -3.15%E -0.727%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.16%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.05%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.18%EV -10.24%E -6.70%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -5.16%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -3.82%E -0.888%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -10.24%E -6.70%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -5.16%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -10.24%E -6.70%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -5.16%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -4.97%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.00%EV -6.11%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -4.97%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -7.05%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.68%EV -7.17%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -4.97%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -7.05%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.68%EV -7.17%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -7.05%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -6.05%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.72%EV -6.72%E -4.23%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -7.05%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -6.05%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.40%EV -6.72%E -4.23%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -7.05%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.93%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -8.95%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -1.58%E -0.359%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.93%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -8.95%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -1.58%E -0.359%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.73%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -8.95%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.15%E -0.727%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-24 18:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.47%EV -9.07%E -5.85%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -8.95%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-24 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -4.97%E -3.06%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -9.90%E -2.08%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.05%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -9.90%E -2.08%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -4.94%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -7.31%E -4.63%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -10.85%E -2.31%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -1.58%E -0.359%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.73%EV -7.31%E -4.63%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -12.74%E -2.77%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.09%EV -1.58%E -0.359%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.19%EV -7.31%E -4.63%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -14.64%E -3.25%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -3.82%E -0.888%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -10.24%E -6.70%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -17.87%E -4.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -6.05%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-24 17:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.71% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.13% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.16% | 0.3% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.41% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 0.8% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.41% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 0.8% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |