A Escola das Oddsodds.school
Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Hungary v Northern Ireland

2026-11-17 19:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hungary (Local)

Previsão 49.63%2.01odd justa
EV -5.21%
Vantagem -2.73%
Kelly -5.72%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.61%49.70%49.59%51.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.741.861.851.9157.47%53.85%54.05%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Northern Ireland (Visitante)

Previsão 22.24%4.50odd justa
EV +6.74%
Vantagem +1.41%
Kelly +1.77%
Crescimento +0.120%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.76%22.19%21.80%24.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.604.274.404.8027.78%23.40%22.73%20.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.13%3.55odd justa
EV +2.40%
Vantagem +0.660%
Kelly +0.911%
Crescimento +0.022%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.75%28.11%28.62%30.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.273.253.6433.33%30.57%30.77%27.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Hungary (Local): 49.63%; Northern Ireland (Visitante): 22.24%; Empate: 28.13%. Para Northern Ireland (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 4.50. 13 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 4.80, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +6.74%.

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.65%EV -5.21%E -2.73%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV +6.74%E +1.41%K +1.77%G +0.120%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -12.79%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-13 22:28
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.92%EV -5.21%E -2.73%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -7.16%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-13 15:16
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:40
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.57%EV -6.70%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.79%EV -1.04%E -0.233%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.64%EV +2.40%E +0.660%K +0.911%G +0.022%3.1%2026-11-13 19:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -7.69%E -4.13%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -2.15%E -0.489%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.64%EV +1.28%E +0.355%K +0.492%G +0.006%4.3%2026-11-13 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.46%EV -5.21%E -2.73%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -2.15%E -0.489%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-13 15:15
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.46%EV -5.21%E -2.73%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -2.15%E -0.489%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-13 15:16
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.46%EV -5.21%E -2.73%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -2.15%E -0.489%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-13 15:15
BetMGM🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -2.15%E -0.489%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-13 15:15
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -3.71%E -0.856%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -12.79%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-13 22:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -3.71%E -0.856%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -12.79%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-13 22:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -3.71%E -0.856%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -12.79%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-13 22:19
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -5.21%E -2.73%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-13 16:29
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -5.21%E -2.73%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-13 15:15
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -10.67%E -5.93%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-13 23:15
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -15.60%E -5.20%K -7.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-13 22:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.38%EV -13.65%E -7.84%K -18.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -14.19%E -4.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-13 15:15
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.60%EV -10.67%E -5.93%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.62%EV -12.23%E -3.92%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-14 00:39
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.60%EV -10.67%E -5.93%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.62%EV -12.23%E -3.92%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-14 00:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -5.71%E -3.00%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:20
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -6.70%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-13 22:15
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.19%E -3.85%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-13 15:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.26%EV -7.69%E -4.13%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -14.38%E -3.74%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-13 15:16
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.85%EV -7.69%E -4.13%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -15.49%E -4.08%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV +1.28%E +0.355%K +0.492%G +0.006%7.9%2026-11-13 15:15
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.16%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -15.49%E -4.08%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.91%EV -4.91%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-13 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.59%EV -10.67%E -5.93%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.61%EV -15.94%E -4.22%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.80%EV -6.32%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-13 15:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -10.67%E -5.93%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -19.94%E -5.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-13 15:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 33.33%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.63%1.15I 86.96%NM 33.04%163.2%2026-11-13 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 33.33%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.63%1.15I 86.96%NM 33.04%163.2%2026-11-13 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 33.33%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.63%1.15I 86.96%NM 33.04%163.2%2026-11-13 23:05