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StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)
+ Neues ModellAlle Modelle

Hungary v Northern Ireland

2026-11-17 19:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Direkter Vergleich

37 Wettanbieter (11 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Hungary (Heim)

Prognose 49.63%2.01faire Quote
EV -5.21%
Vorteil -2.73%
Kelly -5.72%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.91

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
48.61%49.70%49.59%51.57%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.741.861.851.9157.47%53.85%54.05%52.36%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Northern Ireland (Auswärts)

Prognose 22.24%4.50faire Quote
EV +6.74%
Vorteil +1.41%
Kelly +1.77%
Wachstum +0.120%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.76%22.19%21.80%24.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.604.274.404.8027.78%23.40%22.73%20.83%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 28.13%3.55faire Quote
EV +2.40%
Vorteil +0.660%
Kelly +0.911%
Wachstum +0.022%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.64

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.75%28.11%28.62%30.59%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.003.273.253.6433.33%30.57%30.77%27.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Hungary (Heim): 49.63%; Northern Ireland (Auswärts): 22.24%; Unentschieden: 28.13%. Für Northern Ireland (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.50. 13 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 4.80 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +6.74%.

Wettanbieterquoten (37 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.65%EV -5.21%E -2.73%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV +6.74%E +1.41%K +1.77%G +0.120%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -12.79%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-13 22:28
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.92%EV -5.21%E -2.73%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -7.16%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-13 15:16
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:40
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.57%EV -6.70%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.79%EV -1.04%E -0.233%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.64%EV +2.40%E +0.660%K +0.911%G +0.022%3.1%2026-11-13 19:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -7.69%E -4.13%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -2.15%E -0.489%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.64%EV +1.28%E +0.355%K +0.492%G +0.006%4.3%2026-11-13 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.46%EV -5.21%E -2.73%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -2.15%E -0.489%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-13 15:15
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.46%EV -5.21%E -2.73%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -2.15%E -0.489%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-13 15:16
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.46%EV -5.21%E -2.73%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -2.15%E -0.489%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-13 15:15
BetMGM🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -2.15%E -0.489%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-13 15:15
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -3.71%E -0.856%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -12.79%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-13 22:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -3.71%E -0.856%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -12.79%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-13 22:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -3.71%E -0.856%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -12.79%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-13 22:19
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -5.21%E -2.73%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-13 16:29
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -5.21%E -2.73%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-13 15:15
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -10.67%E -5.93%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-13 23:15
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -15.60%E -5.20%K -7.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-13 22:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.38%EV -13.65%E -7.84%K -18.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -14.19%E -4.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-13 15:15
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.60%EV -10.67%E -5.93%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.62%EV -12.23%E -3.92%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-14 00:39
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.60%EV -10.67%E -5.93%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.62%EV -12.23%E -3.92%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-14 00:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -5.71%E -3.00%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:20
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -6.70%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-13 22:15
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.19%E -3.85%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-13 15:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.26%EV -7.69%E -4.13%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -14.38%E -3.74%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-13 15:16
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.85%EV -7.69%E -4.13%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -15.49%E -4.08%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV +1.28%E +0.355%K +0.492%G +0.006%7.9%2026-11-13 15:15
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.16%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -15.49%E -4.08%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.91%EV -4.91%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-13 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.59%EV -10.67%E -5.93%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.61%EV -15.94%E -4.22%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.80%EV -6.32%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-13 15:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -10.67%E -5.93%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -19.94%E -5.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-13 15:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (3)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 33.33%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.63%1.15I 86.96%NM 33.04%163.2%2026-11-13 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 33.33%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.63%1.15I 86.96%NM 33.04%163.2%2026-11-13 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 33.33%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.63%1.15I 86.96%NM 33.04%163.2%2026-11-13 23:05