La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Nuevo modeloTodos los modelos

Hungary v Northern Ireland

2026-11-17 19:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Resultado del partido

37 corredores (11 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Hungary (Local)

Predicción 49.63%2.01momio equitativo
EV -5.21%
Ventaja -2.73%
Kelly -5.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.61%49.70%49.59%51.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.741.861.851.9157.47%53.85%54.05%52.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Northern Ireland (Visitante)

Predicción 22.24%4.50momio equitativo
EV +6.74%
Ventaja +1.41%
Kelly +1.77%
Crecimiento +0.120%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.76%22.19%21.80%24.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.604.274.404.8027.78%23.40%22.73%20.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 28.13%3.55momio equitativo
EV +2.40%
Ventaja +0.660%
Kelly +0.911%
Crecimiento +0.022%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.75%28.11%28.62%30.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.273.253.6433.33%30.57%30.77%27.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Hungary (Local): 49.63%; Northern Ireland (Visitante): 22.24%; Empate: 28.13%. Para Northern Ireland (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.50. 13 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.80, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +6.74%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.65%EV -5.21%E -2.73%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV +6.74%E +1.41%K +1.77%G +0.120%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -12.79%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-13 22:28
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.92%EV -5.21%E -2.73%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -7.16%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-13 15:16
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:15
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.073%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:40
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.57%EV -6.70%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.79%EV -1.04%E -0.233%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.64%EV +2.40%E +0.660%K +0.911%G +0.022%3.1%2026-11-13 19:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -7.69%E -4.13%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -2.15%E -0.489%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.64%EV +1.28%E +0.355%K +0.492%G +0.006%4.3%2026-11-13 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.46%EV -5.21%E -2.73%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -2.15%E -0.489%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-13 15:15
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.46%EV -5.21%E -2.73%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -2.15%E -0.489%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-13 15:16
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.46%EV -5.21%E -2.73%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -2.15%E -0.489%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-13 15:15
BetMGM🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -2.15%E -0.489%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-13 15:15
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -3.71%E -0.856%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -12.79%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-13 22:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -3.71%E -0.856%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -12.79%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-13 22:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -3.71%E -0.856%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -12.79%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-13 22:19
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -5.21%E -2.73%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-13 16:29
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -5.21%E -2.73%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-13 15:15
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -10.67%E -5.93%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-13 23:15
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -15.60%E -5.20%K -7.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-13 22:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.38%EV -13.65%E -7.84%K -18.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -14.19%E -4.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-13 15:15
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.60%EV -10.67%E -5.93%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.62%EV -12.23%E -3.92%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-14 00:39
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.60%EV -10.67%E -5.93%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.62%EV -12.23%E -3.92%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-14 00:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -5.71%E -3.00%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 15:20
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -6.70%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-13 22:15
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.19%E -3.85%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-13 15:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.26%EV -7.69%E -4.13%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -14.38%E -3.74%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-13 15:16
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.85%EV -7.69%E -4.13%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -15.49%E -4.08%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV +1.28%E +0.355%K +0.492%G +0.006%7.9%2026-11-13 15:15
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.16%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -15.49%E -4.08%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.91%EV -4.91%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-13 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.59%EV -10.67%E -5.93%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.61%EV -15.94%E -4.22%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.80%EV -6.32%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-13 15:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -10.67%E -5.93%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -19.94%E -5.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-13 15:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 33.33%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.63%1.15I 86.96%NM 33.04%163.2%2026-11-13 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 33.33%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.63%1.15I 86.96%NM 33.04%163.2%2026-11-13 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 33.33%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.63%1.15I 86.96%NM 33.04%163.2%2026-11-13 23:05