The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Gibraltar v Malta

2026-11-16 19:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gibraltar (Local)

Prediction 12.59%7.94fair odd
EV +7.05%
Edge +0.830%
Kelly +0.941%
Growth +0.066%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.13%12.54%12.66%14.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.407.258.5016.67%13.52%13.79%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Malta (Visit)

Prediction 64.23%1.56fair odd
EV -4.30%
Edge -2.88%
Kelly -8.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.72%64.26%64.25%65.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.441.441.4972.46%69.28%69.44%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.17%4.32fair odd
EV +1.97%
Edge +0.447%
Kelly +0.579%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.35%23.20%23.09%24.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.963.904.4028.17%25.28%25.64%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Gibraltar (Local): 12.59%; Malta (Visit): 64.23%; Draw: 23.17%. For Gibraltar (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.94. 16 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 8.50, producing a positive expected value of +7.05%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV +7.05%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.23%EV -6.87%E -4.73%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-14 12:40
1xBet🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV +3.91%E +0.473%K +0.539%G +0.021%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.13%EV -4.30%E -2.88%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV -2.67%E -0.635%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-14 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.69%EV +3.28%E +0.399%K +0.455%G +0.015%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.21%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.10%EV -3.83%E -0.922%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-14 11:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -13.10%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 10:05
Unibet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:04
TABtouch🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:04
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:04
Unibet (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:04
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:05
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:04
Grosvenor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 19:50
Svenska Spel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:05
ATG (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:05
Bally Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:05
BoyleSports🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.79%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-14 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯7.65I 13.07%NM 12.32%EV -3.65%E -0.477%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -6.87%E -4.73%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.70%EV -3.83%E -0.922%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-14 22:49
BetOnline.ag🎯7.65I 13.07%NM 12.32%EV -3.65%E -0.477%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -6.87%E -4.73%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.70%EV -3.83%E -0.922%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-14 22:49
Unibet (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -5.54%E -0.739%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -6.87%E -4.73%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-14 15:39
TAB🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -5.54%E -0.739%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.37%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-14 20:20
Pinnacle🎯7.36I 13.59%NM 12.67%EV -7.30%E -0.992%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.31%EV -6.87%E -4.73%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.14%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-14 12:10
NordicBet🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.50%EV -8.06%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.80%EV -8.15%E -5.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -10.78%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-14 21:40
Betsson🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.50%EV -8.06%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.80%EV -8.15%E -5.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -10.78%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-14 21:40
Bovada🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.74%EV -8.69%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.16%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-14 12:08
BetUS🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.74%EV -8.69%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.16%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-14 14:10
ReBet🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 12.82%EV -9.32%E -1.29%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-14 21:05
MyBookie.ag🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 12.92%EV -10.58%E -1.49%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.15%EV -8.15%E -5.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-14 21:10
Coral🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.01%EV +0.345%E +0.080%K +0.104%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-14 16:10
BetMGM🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -6.87%E -4.73%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV +0.345%E +0.080%K +0.104%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-14 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV +1.97%E +0.447%K +0.579%G +0.011%6.5%2026-11-14 16:10
Neds🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV +1.97%E +0.447%K +0.579%G +0.011%6.5%2026-11-14 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV +0.345%E +0.080%K +0.104%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 16:10
LeoVegas🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.23%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-14 21:05
Casumo🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-14 16:10
FanDuel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -8.15%E -5.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-14 15:20
DraftKings🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -8.15%E -5.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-14 11:45
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-14 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-14 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-14 16:10
William Hill🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-14 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.44%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.19%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.67%EV -7.77%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-14 21:04
betano_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-14 12:40
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-14 12:40
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.56%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.10%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-14 12:45
PMU (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.72%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -17.73%E -4.99%K -6.95%G +0.000%13.9%2026-11-14 08:05
Betway🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -18.14%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -6.87%E -4.73%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-14 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -18.14%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.07%EV -9.43%E -6.69%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-14 21:05
Winamax (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.48%EV -24.43%E -4.07%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 62.95%EV -11.36%E -8.23%K -29.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.57%EV -10.78%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%15.1%2026-11-14 21:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎9.00I 11.11%NM 10.64%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.35%4.5%2026-11-14 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎9.00I 11.11%NM 10.64%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.35%4.5%2026-11-14 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎9.00I 11.11%NM 10.64%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.35%4.5%2026-11-14 14:10

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