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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Gibraltar v Malta

2026-11-16 19:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Gibraltar (Local)

Predicción 12.59%7.94momio equitativo
EV +7.05%
Ventaja +0.830%
Kelly +0.941%
Crecimiento +0.066%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.13%12.54%12.66%14.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.007.407.258.5016.67%13.52%13.79%11.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Malta (Visitante)

Predicción 64.23%1.56momio equitativo
EV -4.30%
Ventaja -2.88%
Kelly -8.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.72%64.26%64.25%65.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.381.441.441.4972.46%69.28%69.44%67.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 23.17%4.32momio equitativo
EV +1.97%
Ventaja +0.447%
Kelly +0.579%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.35%23.20%23.09%24.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.553.963.904.4028.17%25.28%25.64%22.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Gibraltar (Local): 12.59%; Malta (Visitante): 64.23%; Empate: 23.17%. Para Gibraltar (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 7.94. 16 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 8.50, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +7.05%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Caesars🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV +7.05%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.23%EV -6.87%E -4.73%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-14 12:40
1xBet🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV +3.91%E +0.473%K +0.539%G +0.021%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.13%EV -4.30%E -2.88%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV -2.67%E -0.635%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-14 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.69%EV +3.28%E +0.399%K +0.455%G +0.015%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.21%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.10%EV -3.83%E -0.922%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-14 11:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -13.10%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 10:05
Unibet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:04
TABtouch🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:04
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:04
Unibet (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:04
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:05
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:04
Grosvenor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 19:50
Svenska Spel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:05
ATG (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:05
Bally Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:05
BoyleSports🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.79%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-14 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯7.65I 13.07%NM 12.32%EV -3.65%E -0.477%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -6.87%E -4.73%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.70%EV -3.83%E -0.922%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-14 22:49
BetOnline.ag🎯7.65I 13.07%NM 12.32%EV -3.65%E -0.477%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -6.87%E -4.73%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.70%EV -3.83%E -0.922%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-14 22:49
Unibet (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -5.54%E -0.739%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -6.87%E -4.73%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-14 15:39
TAB🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -5.54%E -0.739%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.37%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-14 20:20
Pinnacle🎯7.36I 13.59%NM 12.67%EV -7.30%E -0.992%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.31%EV -6.87%E -4.73%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.14%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-14 12:10
NordicBet🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.50%EV -8.06%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.80%EV -8.15%E -5.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -10.78%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-14 21:40
Betsson🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.50%EV -8.06%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.80%EV -8.15%E -5.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -10.78%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-14 21:40
Bovada🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.74%EV -8.69%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.16%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-14 12:08
BetUS🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.74%EV -8.69%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.16%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-14 14:10
ReBet🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 12.82%EV -9.32%E -1.29%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-14 21:05
MyBookie.ag🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 12.92%EV -10.58%E -1.49%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.15%EV -8.15%E -5.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-14 21:10
Coral🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.01%EV +0.345%E +0.080%K +0.104%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-14 16:10
BetMGM🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -6.87%E -4.73%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV +0.345%E +0.080%K +0.104%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-14 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV +1.97%E +0.447%K +0.579%G +0.011%6.5%2026-11-14 16:10
Neds🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV +1.97%E +0.447%K +0.579%G +0.011%6.5%2026-11-14 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV +0.345%E +0.080%K +0.104%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 16:10
LeoVegas🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.23%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-14 21:05
Casumo🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-14 16:10
FanDuel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -8.15%E -5.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-14 15:20
DraftKings🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -8.15%E -5.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-14 11:45
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-14 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-14 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-14 16:10
William Hill🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-14 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.44%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.19%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.67%EV -7.77%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-14 21:04
betano_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-14 12:40
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-14 12:40
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.56%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.10%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-14 12:45
PMU (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.72%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -17.73%E -4.99%K -6.95%G +0.000%13.9%2026-11-14 08:05
Betway🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -18.14%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -6.87%E -4.73%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-14 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -18.14%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.07%EV -9.43%E -6.69%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-14 21:05
Winamax (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.48%EV -24.43%E -4.07%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 62.95%EV -11.36%E -8.23%K -29.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.57%EV -10.78%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%15.1%2026-11-14 21:01
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎9.00I 11.11%NM 10.64%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.35%4.5%2026-11-14 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎9.00I 11.11%NM 10.64%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.35%4.5%2026-11-14 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎9.00I 11.11%NM 10.64%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.35%4.5%2026-11-14 14:10

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