L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Gibraltar v Malta

2026-11-16 19:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Gibraltar (Local)

Prévision 12.59%7.94cote équitable
EV +7.05%
Avantage +0.830%
Kelly +0.941%
Croissance +0.066%

avec la cote maximale 8.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.13%12.54%12.66%14.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.007.407.258.5016.67%13.52%13.79%11.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Malta (Visiteur)

Prévision 64.23%1.56cote équitable
EV -4.30%
Avantage -2.88%
Kelly -8.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.72%64.26%64.25%65.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.381.441.441.4972.46%69.28%69.44%67.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.17%4.32cote équitable
EV +1.97%
Avantage +0.447%
Kelly +0.579%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.35%23.20%23.09%24.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.553.963.904.4028.17%25.28%25.64%22.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Gibraltar (Local) : 12.59% ; Malta (Visiteur) : 64.23% ; Match nul : 23.17%. Pour Gibraltar (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 7.94. 16 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 8.50, pour une espérance positive de +7.05%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Caesars🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV +7.05%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.23%EV -6.87%E -4.73%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-14 12:40
1xBet🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV +3.91%E +0.473%K +0.539%G +0.021%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.13%EV -4.30%E -2.88%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV -2.67%E -0.635%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-14 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.69%EV +3.28%E +0.399%K +0.455%G +0.015%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.21%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.10%EV -3.83%E -0.922%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-14 11:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -13.10%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 10:05
Unibet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:04
TABtouch🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:04
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:04
Unibet (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:04
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:05
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:04
Grosvenor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 19:50
Svenska Spel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:05
ATG (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:05
Bally Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.67%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 08:05
BoyleSports🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV +0.757%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.79%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-14 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯7.65I 13.07%NM 12.32%EV -3.65%E -0.477%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -6.87%E -4.73%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.70%EV -3.83%E -0.922%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-14 22:49
BetOnline.ag🎯7.65I 13.07%NM 12.32%EV -3.65%E -0.477%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -6.87%E -4.73%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.70%EV -3.83%E -0.922%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-14 22:49
Unibet (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -5.54%E -0.739%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -6.87%E -4.73%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-14 15:39
TAB🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -5.54%E -0.739%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.37%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-14 20:20
Pinnacle🎯7.36I 13.59%NM 12.67%EV -7.30%E -0.992%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.31%EV -6.87%E -4.73%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.14%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-14 12:10
NordicBet🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.50%EV -8.06%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.80%EV -8.15%E -5.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -10.78%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-14 21:40
Betsson🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.50%EV -8.06%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.80%EV -8.15%E -5.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -10.78%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-14 21:40
Bovada🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.74%EV -8.69%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.16%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-14 12:08
BetUS🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.74%EV -8.69%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.16%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-14 14:10
ReBet🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 12.82%EV -9.32%E -1.29%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-14 21:05
MyBookie.ag🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 12.92%EV -10.58%E -1.49%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.15%EV -8.15%E -5.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-14 21:10
Coral🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.01%EV +0.345%E +0.080%K +0.104%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-14 16:10
BetMGM🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -6.87%E -4.73%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV +0.345%E +0.080%K +0.104%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-14 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV +1.97%E +0.447%K +0.579%G +0.011%6.5%2026-11-14 16:10
Neds🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV +1.97%E +0.447%K +0.579%G +0.011%6.5%2026-11-14 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV +0.345%E +0.080%K +0.104%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 16:10
LeoVegas🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.23%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-14 21:05
Casumo🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-14 16:10
FanDuel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -8.15%E -5.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-14 15:20
DraftKings🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -8.15%E -5.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-14 11:45
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-14 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-14 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-14 16:10
William Hill🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-14 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.44%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.19%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.67%EV -7.77%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-14 21:04
betano_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-14 12:40
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-14 12:40
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.56%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.10%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-14 12:45
PMU (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.72%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -17.73%E -4.99%K -6.95%G +0.000%13.9%2026-11-14 08:05
Betway🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -18.14%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -6.87%E -4.73%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-14 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -18.14%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.07%EV -9.43%E -6.69%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-14 21:05
Winamax (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.48%EV -24.43%E -4.07%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 62.95%EV -11.36%E -8.23%K -29.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.57%EV -10.78%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%15.1%2026-11-14 21:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎9.00I 11.11%NM 10.64%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.35%4.5%2026-11-14 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎9.00I 11.11%NM 10.64%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.35%4.5%2026-11-14 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎9.00I 11.11%NM 10.64%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.35%4.5%2026-11-14 14:10

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