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Czech Republic v Croatia

2026-09-26 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Czech Republic (Local)

Prediction 30.15%3.32fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.615%
Kelly -0.888%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.67%30.13%30.29%31.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.113.113.2535.71%32.17%32.15%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Croatia (Visit)

Prediction 42.79%2.34fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.879%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.97%42.88%42.46%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.142.2950.00%46.82%46.73%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.06%3.70fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -0.721%
Kelly -0.998%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%26.99%27.26%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.483.513.6030.77%28.70%28.49%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Czech Republic (Local): 30.15%; Croatia (Visit): 42.79%; Draw: 27.06%. For Czech Republic (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.32. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.25, with an expected value of -2.00%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -2.00%E -0.615%K -0.888%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.59%E -0.721%K -0.998%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 23:19
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -2.00%E -0.615%K -0.888%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.59%E -0.721%K -0.998%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 23:20
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -2.00%E -0.615%K -0.888%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.59%E -0.721%K -0.998%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 23:19
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -2.00%E -0.615%K -0.888%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.59%E -0.721%K -0.998%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 23:19
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -2.00%E -0.615%K -0.888%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.59%E -0.721%K -0.998%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 23:19
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -2.00%E -0.615%K -0.888%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -2.59%E -0.721%K -0.998%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 23:19
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -2.00%E -0.615%K -0.888%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -2.59%E -0.721%K -0.998%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 23:19
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.51%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 10:45
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.51%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.59%E -0.721%K -0.998%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 07:29
PMU (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -3.51%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -13.57%E -6.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 23:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.34%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.42%EV -3.30%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.76%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-17 12:25
1xBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.52%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.17%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.76%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-17 12:30
Pinnacle🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.56%EV -5.92%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.64%EV -2.01%E -0.879%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.80%EV -7.19%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 21:11
Betclic (FR)🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -5.92%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.48%EV -8.86%E -4.16%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -6.65%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 14:01
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -6.72%E -3.08%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -6.65%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 10:45
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 10:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 10:45
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.52%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -2.59%E -0.721%K -0.998%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 10:39
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.40%EV -3.30%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 21:07
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.43%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -9.29%E -4.38%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -2.59%E -0.721%K -0.998%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 10:40
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -2.59%E -0.721%K -0.998%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 10:40
Suprabets🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.52%EV -5.44%E -2.46%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 27.89%EV -10.98%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 21:08
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 14:20
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-19 13:59
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -13.16%E -4.57%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 14:21
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -14.06%E -4.93%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.73%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-06 10:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -15.57%E -5.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.92%EV -14.42%E -7.21%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-06 10:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 31.84%1.24I 80.65%NM 32.35%1.12I 89.29%NM 35.82%149.3%2026-09-20 04:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 31.84%1.24I 80.65%NM 32.35%1.12I 89.29%NM 35.82%149.3%2026-09-20 04:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 31.84%1.24I 80.65%NM 32.35%1.12I 89.29%NM 35.82%149.3%2026-09-20 04:55