Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 4.00
avec la cote maximale 2.01
avec la cote maximale 3.65
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Czech Republic (Local) : 24.64% ; Croatia (Visiteur) : 48.17% ; Match nul : 27.19%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.68. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.65, pour une espérance de -0.743% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -1.45%E -0.364%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -4.62%E -2.33%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.79%EV -1.56%E -0.431%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-26 18:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -1.45%E -0.364%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -1.45%E -0.364%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -1.45%E -0.364%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.33%EV -2.19%E -0.553%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.06%EV -3.18%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-26 18:35 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -3.92%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.85%EV -4.62%E -2.33%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 18:32 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.92%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.36%EV -6.55%E -3.38%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -9.44%E -5.02%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 18:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.20%EV -6.14%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.49%EV -4.62%E -2.33%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -0.743%E -0.204%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-26 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.38%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -3.66%E -1.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-26 18:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.38%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.07%E -3.11%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -7.61%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -3.66%E -1.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-26 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -7.61%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -3.66%E -1.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-26 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -7.61%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.57%EV -6.07%E -3.11%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-26 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -3.66%E -1.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -3.66%E -1.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -4.62%E -2.33%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -4.62%E -2.33%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -2.10%E -0.584%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -2.10%E -0.584%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -2.10%E -0.584%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -2.10%E -0.584%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -2.10%E -0.584%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -10.08%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -6.07%E -3.11%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.66%E -1.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.10%E -0.584%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -6.55%E -3.38%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-26 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.64%EV -10.40%E -5.59%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.64%EV -10.40%E -5.59%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-26 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -10.89%E -5.88%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-26 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -12.54%E -3.53%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.51%E -3.91%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-26 18:30 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-09-26 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-09-26 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-09-26 18:35 |