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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Czech Republic v Croatia

开赛时间： 2026-09-26 18:45 UTC

最终结果： Czech Republic 1–2 Croatia

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Czech Republic (主队)

预测 24.64%4.06公平赔率
EV -1.45%
优势 -0.364%
Kelly -0.485%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
23.42%24.67%24.73%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.553.763.704.0028.17%26.61%27.03%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Croatia (客队)

预测 48.17%2.08公平赔率
EV -3.18%
优势 -1.58%
Kelly -3.15%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.01

博彩公司预测分布
46.98%48.23%48.06%49.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.851.941.942.0154.05%51.50%51.55%49.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.19%3.68公平赔率
EV -0.743%
优势 -0.204%
Kelly -0.281%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.65

博彩公司预测分布
25.92%27.10%27.21%27.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.473.453.6530.30%28.83%28.99%27.40%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Czech Republic (主队)：24.64%；Croatia (客队)：48.17%；平局：27.19%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.68。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.65，期望值为-0.743%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Marathon Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -1.45%E -0.364%K -0.485%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -4.62%E -2.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.79%EV -1.56%E -0.431%K -0.595%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-26 18:39
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -1.45%E -0.364%K -0.485%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-26 18:40
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -1.45%E -0.364%K -0.485%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-26 18:40
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -1.45%E -0.364%K -0.485%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-26 18:40
Pinnacle🎯3.97I 25.19%NM 24.33%EV -2.19%E -0.553%K -0.739%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.06%EV -3.18%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-26 18:35
Suprabets🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -3.92%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.85%EV -4.62%E -2.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 18:32
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.92%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.36%EV -6.55%E -3.38%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-26 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -9.44%E -5.02%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-26 18:34
1xBet🎯3.81I 26.25%NM 25.20%EV -6.14%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.49%EV -4.62%E -2.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -0.743%E -0.204%K -0.281%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-26 18:35
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.38%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -3.66%E -1.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-26 18:35
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.38%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.07%E -3.11%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-26 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -7.61%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -3.66%E -1.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-26 18:20
Coral🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -7.61%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -3.66%E -1.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-26 18:20
DraftKings🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -7.61%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.57%EV -6.07%E -3.11%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-26 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -3.66%E -1.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 18:40
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -3.66%E -1.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 18:40
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -4.62%E -2.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 18:40
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -4.62%E -2.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 18:40
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -2.10%E -0.584%K -0.809%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-26 18:35
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -2.10%E -0.584%K -0.809%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-26 18:35
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -2.10%E -0.584%K -0.809%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-26 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -2.10%E -0.584%K -0.809%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-26 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -2.10%E -0.584%K -0.809%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-26 18:35
William Hill🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-26 18:40
LeoVegas🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -10.08%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -6.07%E -3.11%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-26 18:40
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.66%E -1.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.10%E -0.584%K -0.809%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -6.55%E -3.38%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-26 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.64%EV -10.40%E -5.59%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-26 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.64%EV -10.40%E -5.59%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-26 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -10.89%E -5.88%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-26 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -12.54%E -3.53%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.51%E -3.91%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-26 18:30
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-09-26 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-09-26 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-09-26 18:35