預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Bulgaria v Luxembourg

開賽時間: 2026-09-26 16:02 UTC

最終賽果: Bulgaria 1–2 Luxembourg

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

29 家博彩公司 (8 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Bulgaria (主隊)

預測 37.76%2.65公平賠率
EV -2.95%
優勢 -1.15%
Kelly -1.88%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.57

博彩公司預測分布
35.72%38.18%37.64%42.80%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.182.422.452.5745.87%41.40%40.82%38.91%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Luxembourg (客隊)

預測 29.01%3.45公平賠率
EV +5.89%
優勢 +1.61%
Kelly +2.22%
成長率 +0.131%

假設最高賠率為 3.65

博彩公司預測分布
25.56%28.73%29.10%31.26%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.803.233.253.6535.71%30.92%30.77%27.40%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 33.23%3.01公平賠率
EV -1.98%
優勢 -0.672%
Kelly -1.02%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.95

博彩公司預測分布
31.63%33.09%33.27%34.11%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.652.832.822.9537.74%35.39%35.46%33.90%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Bulgaria (主隊):37.76%;Luxembourg (客隊):29.01%;和局:33.23%。 對於「Luxembourg (客隊)」,該估計相當於3.45的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為3.65,對應+5.89%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (29 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.80%EV -17.67%E -8.11%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV +5.89%E +1.61%K +2.22%G +0.131%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -1.98%E -0.672%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-26 15:45
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -5.59%E -2.24%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -1.37%E -0.402%K -0.569%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.05%EV -7.30%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 15:54
Suprabets🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -6.34%E -2.56%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.14%EV -2.24%E -0.664%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.63%EV -6.30%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-26 15:52
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -12.39%E -5.34%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -2.82%E -0.841%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -3.65%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-26 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -12.39%E -5.34%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -2.82%E -0.841%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -3.65%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-26 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -12.39%E -5.34%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -2.82%E -0.841%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -3.65%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-26 16:00
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -12.39%E -5.34%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -2.82%E -0.841%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -3.65%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-26 16:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -12.39%E -5.34%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -2.82%E -0.841%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -3.65%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-26 16:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -12.39%E -5.34%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -2.82%E -0.841%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -3.65%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-26 16:01
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.26%EV -11.25%E -4.79%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -2.82%E -0.841%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -7.63%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-26 15:55
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.26%EV -11.25%E -4.79%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -2.82%E -0.841%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -7.63%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-26 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.30%EV -2.95%E -1.15%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.70%EV -3.11%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.00%EV -6.30%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 15:59
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -9.37%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-26 15:59
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -9.37%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-26 15:55
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -13.14%E -5.71%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -4.31%E -1.50%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-26 15:59
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.70%E -1.45%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-26 16:00
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.70%E -1.45%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-26 16:00
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.59%E -2.24%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-26 15:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -16.92%E -7.69%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-26 16:00
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -3.70%E -1.45%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.63%EV -9.49%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.11%EV -9.96%E -3.67%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-26 15:58
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.59%E -2.24%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -3.65%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.59%E -2.24%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -3.65%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 15:59
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.59%E -2.24%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -3.65%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.35%EV -5.59%E -2.24%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.53%EV -4.64%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-26 16:01
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.48%E -3.05%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-26 16:01
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.48%E -3.05%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.29%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-26 16:01
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -9.37%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -10.29%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-26 16:01
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -5.59%E -2.24%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -11.52%E -3.78%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-26 16:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.72%EV -7.48%E -3.05%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.26%EV -18.77%E -6.70%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.02%EV -11.95%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-26 16:00
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.88%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.57%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.55%0.0%2026-09-26 16:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.95%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.51%0.1%2026-09-26 16:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.95%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.51%0.1%2026-09-26 16:00