默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Bulgaria v Luxembourg

2026-09-26 16:00 UTC — UEFA Nations League

胜负盘

15 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Bulgaria (主队)

预测 50.12%2.00公平赔率
EV -3.26%
优势 -1.69%
Kelly -3.51%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.93

博彩公司预测分布
49.30%50.13%50.12%50.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.871.881.9355.56%53.36%53.19%51.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

Luxembourg (客队)

预测 21.95%4.56公平赔率
EV +2.07%
优势 +0.445%
Kelly +0.568%
增长率 +0.012%

假设最高赔率为 4.65

博彩公司预测分布
20.86%21.87%21.95%22.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.104.204.104.6524.39%23.84%24.39%21.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.92%3.58公平赔率
EV -4.50%
优势 -1.32%
Kelly -1.86%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.42

博彩公司预测分布
27.77%28.00%27.92%28.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.333.353.4231.25%30.01%29.85%29.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Bulgaria (主队):50.12%;Luxembourg (客队):21.95%;平局:27.92%。 对于“Luxembourg (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.56。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为4.65,由此产生+2.07%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (15 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.78%EV -4.26%E -2.23%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.86%EV +2.07%E +0.445%K +0.568%G +0.012%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.36%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-21 01:55
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.36%EV -3.26%E -1.69%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.22%EV +0.535%E +0.117%K +0.149%G +0.001%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.42%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-21 01:59
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -9.78%E -5.43%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -5.61%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.85%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-20 20:39
Suprabets🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.40%EV -6.77%E -3.64%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -7.81%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -10.64%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-20 20:40
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -9.78%E -5.43%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.81%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-20 20:39
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.38%EV -5.26%E -2.79%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -10.00%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-20 20:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -10.00%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-20 20:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -10.00%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-20 20:40
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -10.00%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-20 20:40
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -10.00%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-20 20:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -10.00%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-20 20:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -10.00%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-20 20:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -10.00%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-20 20:39
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.00%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -7.85%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-20 20:39
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.00%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -7.85%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-20 20:39
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%180.4%2026-08-20 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%180.4%2026-08-20 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-08-20 20:39

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