Lingua:Italiano
Bulgaria v Luxembourg
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Bulgaria (Casa)
Previsione 37.76%2.65quota equa
EV -2.95%
Vantaggio -1.15%
Kelly -1.88%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.57
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.72%38.18%37.64%42.80%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.182.422.452.5745.87%41.40%40.82%38.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Luxembourg (Trasferta)
Previsione 29.01%3.45quota equa
EV +5.89%
Vantaggio +1.61%
Kelly +2.22%
Crescita +0.131%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.56%28.73%29.10%31.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.233.253.6535.71%30.92%30.77%27.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 33.23%3.01quota equa
EV -1.98%
Vantaggio -0.672%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.95
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.63%33.09%33.27%34.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.832.822.9537.74%35.39%35.46%33.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Bulgaria (Casa): 37.76%; Luxembourg (Trasferta): 29.01%; Pareggio: 33.23%. Per Luxembourg (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.45. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.65, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +5.89%.
Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.80%EV -17.67%E -8.11%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV +5.89%E +1.61%K +2.22%G +0.131% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -1.98%E -0.672%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 15:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -5.59%E -2.24%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -1.37%E -0.402%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.05%EV -7.30%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 15:54 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -6.34%E -2.56%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.14%EV -2.24%E -0.664%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.63%EV -6.30%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-26 15:52 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -12.39%E -5.34%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -2.82%E -0.841%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -3.65%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -12.39%E -5.34%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -2.82%E -0.841%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -3.65%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -12.39%E -5.34%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -2.82%E -0.841%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -3.65%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -12.39%E -5.34%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -2.82%E -0.841%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -3.65%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-26 16:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -12.39%E -5.34%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -2.82%E -0.841%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -3.65%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -12.39%E -5.34%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -2.82%E -0.841%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -3.65%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-26 16:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.26%EV -11.25%E -4.79%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -2.82%E -0.841%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -7.63%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.26%EV -11.25%E -4.79%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -2.82%E -0.841%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -7.63%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.30%EV -2.95%E -1.15%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.70%EV -3.11%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.00%EV -6.30%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 15:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -9.37%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-26 15:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -9.37%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -13.14%E -5.71%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -4.31%E -1.50%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-26 15:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.70%E -1.45%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.70%E -1.45%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.59%E -2.24%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 15:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -16.92%E -7.69%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -3.70%E -1.45%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.63%EV -9.49%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.11%EV -9.96%E -3.67%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-26 15:58 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.59%E -2.24%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -3.65%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.59%E -2.24%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -3.65%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-26 15:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.59%E -2.24%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -3.65%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-26 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.35%EV -5.59%E -2.24%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.53%EV -4.64%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 16:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.48%E -3.05%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-26 16:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.48%E -3.05%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.29%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-26 16:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -9.37%E -3.90%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -10.29%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-26 16:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -5.59%E -2.24%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -11.52%E -3.78%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.72%EV -7.48%E -3.05%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.26%EV -18.77%E -6.70%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.02%EV -11.95%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.88% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.57% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.55% | 0.0% | 2026-09-26 16:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.54% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.95% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.51% | 0.1% | 2026-09-26 16:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.54% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.95% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.51% | 0.1% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |