Language:English
Austria v Israel
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Austria (Local)
Prediction 64.63%1.55fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -2.48%
Kelly -7.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.33%64.65%64.66%66.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.441.451.4973.53%69.23%68.97%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Israel (Visit)
Prediction 14.84%6.74fair odd
EV +3.91%
Edge +0.558%
Kelly +0.651%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.98%14.79%14.84%15.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.316.257.0016.67%15.84%16.00%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.53%4.87fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.308%
Kelly -0.389%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.30%20.56%20.51%22.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.484.504.8023.81%22.30%22.22%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Austria (Local): 64.63%; Israel (Visit): 14.84%; Draw: 20.53%. For Israel (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.74. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.91%.
Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -12.10%E -8.90%K -33.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV +3.91%E +0.558%K +0.651%G +0.025% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.57%EV -4.35%E -2.94%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.93I 14.43%NM 14.00%EV +2.87%E +0.414%K +0.483%G +0.014% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.43%EV -2.51%E -0.528%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.63%EV -5.64%E -3.86%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.99%EV +1.68%E +0.245%K +0.287%G +0.005% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV -3.53%E -0.752%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.74%EV -3.70%E -2.48%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV +0.195%E +0.029%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.97%EV -5.58%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.74%EV -3.70%E -2.48%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV +0.195%E +0.029%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.97%EV -5.58%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.99%EV -5.64%E -3.86%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.38%EV -2.03%E -0.308%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.63%EV -5.58%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 18:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -4.35%E -2.94%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -3.52%E -0.541%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -12.77%E -3.00%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.28%E -4.33%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -3.52%E -0.541%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -8.22%E -5.79%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -3.52%E -0.541%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -12.10%E -8.90%K -33.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -3.52%E -0.541%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -11.13%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.10%EV -5.64%E -3.86%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -5.00%E -0.781%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -9.69%E -2.20%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.26%EV -6.28%E -4.33%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -5.00%E -0.781%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -9.69%E -2.20%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -4.35%E -2.94%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.88%EV -6.49%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -11.74%E -2.73%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -4.35%E -2.94%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.88%EV -6.49%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -11.74%E -2.73%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.93%E -4.81%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -7.23%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.58%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.55%EV -8.87%E -6.29%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -7.23%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -3.53%E -0.752%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.04%EV -6.93%E -4.81%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -7.23%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -10.72%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -4.35%E -2.94%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.58%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -4.35%E -2.94%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.58%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -4.35%E -2.94%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.58%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -4.35%E -2.94%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.58%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -8.22%E -5.79%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -1.48%E -0.308%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.99%EV -8.22%E -5.79%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -3.53%E -0.752%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.58%E -5.30%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-24 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.34%EV -7.58%E -5.30%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -13.79%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.34%EV -7.58%E -5.30%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -13.79%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.34%EV -7.58%E -5.30%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -13.79%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -9.52%E -6.80%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.13%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -9.52%E -6.80%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.13%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-24 18:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.60% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 0.8% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.60% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 0.8% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.60% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 0.8% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |