預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Austria v Israel

開賽時間: 2026-09-24 18:49 UTC

最終賽果: Austria 3–1 Israel

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

29 家博彩公司 (8 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Austria (主隊)

預測 64.63%1.55公平賠率
EV -3.70%
優勢 -2.48%
Kelly -7.55%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.49

博彩公司預測分布
63.33%64.65%64.66%66.82%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.361.441.451.4973.53%69.23%68.97%67.11%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Israel (客隊)

預測 14.84%6.74公平賠率
EV +3.91%
優勢 +0.558%
Kelly +0.651%
成長率 +0.025%

假設最高賠率為 7.00

博彩公司預測分布
12.98%14.79%14.84%15.73%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
6.006.316.257.0016.67%15.84%16.00%14.29%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 20.53%4.87公平賠率
EV -1.48%
優勢 -0.308%
Kelly -0.389%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.80

博彩公司預測分布
19.30%20.56%20.51%22.10%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.204.484.504.8023.81%22.30%22.22%20.83%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Austria (主隊):64.63%;Israel (客隊):14.84%;和局:20.53%。 對於「Israel (客隊)」,該估計相當於6.74的公平十進位賠率。 當時有5家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為7.00,對應+3.91%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (29 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -12.10%E -8.90%K -33.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV +3.91%E +0.558%K +0.651%G +0.025%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-24 18:15
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.57%EV -4.35%E -2.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.93I 14.43%NM 14.00%EV +2.87%E +0.414%K +0.483%G +0.014%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.43%EV -2.51%E -0.528%K -0.668%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-24 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.63%EV -5.64%E -3.86%K -12.26%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.99%EV +1.68%E +0.245%K +0.287%G +0.005%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV -3.53%E -0.752%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.74%EV -3.70%E -2.48%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV +0.195%E +0.029%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.97%EV -5.58%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-24 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.74%EV -3.70%E -2.48%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV +0.195%E +0.029%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.97%EV -5.58%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-24 18:25
Suprabets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.99%EV -5.64%E -3.86%K -12.26%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.38%EV -2.03%E -0.308%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.63%EV -5.58%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 18:24
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -4.35%E -2.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -3.52%E -0.541%K -0.639%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -12.77%E -3.00%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-24 18:15
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.28%E -4.33%K -13.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -3.52%E -0.541%K -0.639%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-24 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -8.22%E -5.79%K -19.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -3.52%E -0.541%K -0.639%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-24 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -12.10%E -8.90%K -33.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -3.52%E -0.541%K -0.639%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -11.13%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-24 18:30
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.10%EV -5.64%E -3.86%K -12.26%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -5.00%E -0.781%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -9.69%E -2.20%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-24 18:25
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.26%EV -6.28%E -4.33%K -13.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -5.00%E -0.781%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -9.69%E -2.20%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-24 18:25
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -4.35%E -2.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.88%EV -6.49%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -11.74%E -2.73%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-24 18:15
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -4.35%E -2.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.88%EV -6.49%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -11.74%E -2.73%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-24 18:10
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.93%E -4.81%K -15.75%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -7.23%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.58%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-24 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.55%EV -8.87%E -6.29%K -21.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -7.23%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -3.53%E -0.752%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-24 18:25
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.04%EV -6.93%E -4.81%K -15.75%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -7.23%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -10.72%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-24 18:25
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -4.35%E -2.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.58%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-24 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -4.35%E -2.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.58%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-24 18:20
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -4.35%E -2.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.58%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-24 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -4.35%E -2.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.58%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-24 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -8.22%E -5.79%K -19.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -1.48%E -0.308%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-24 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.99%EV -8.22%E -5.79%K -19.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -3.53%E -0.752%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-24 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.58%E -5.30%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-24 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.34%EV -7.58%E -5.30%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -13.79%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-24 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.34%EV -7.58%E -5.30%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -13.79%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-24 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.34%EV -7.58%E -5.30%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -13.79%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-24 18:25
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -9.52%E -6.80%K -23.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.13%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-24 18:15
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -9.52%E -6.80%K -23.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.13%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-24 18:00
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.60%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-09-24 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.60%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-09-24 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.60%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-09-24 18:30