Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Austria v Israel

Inizio: 2026-09-24 18:49 UTC

Finale: Austria 3–1 Israel

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

29 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Austria (Casa)

Previsione 64.63%1.55quota equa
EV -3.70%
Vantaggio -2.48%
Kelly -7.55%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.49

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.33%64.65%64.66%66.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.441.451.4973.53%69.23%68.97%67.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Israel (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.84%6.74quota equa
EV +3.91%
Vantaggio +0.558%
Kelly +0.651%
Crescita +0.025%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.98%14.79%14.84%15.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.006.316.257.0016.67%15.84%16.00%14.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 20.53%4.87quota equa
EV -1.48%
Vantaggio -0.308%
Kelly -0.389%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.30%20.56%20.51%22.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.484.504.8023.81%22.30%22.22%20.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Austria (Casa): 64.63%; Israel (Trasferta): 14.84%; Pareggio: 20.53%. Per Israel (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.74. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 7.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.91%.

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -12.10%E -8.90%K -33.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV +3.91%E +0.558%K +0.651%G +0.025%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-24 18:15
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.57%EV -4.35%E -2.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.93I 14.43%NM 14.00%EV +2.87%E +0.414%K +0.483%G +0.014%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.43%EV -2.51%E -0.528%K -0.668%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-24 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.63%EV -5.64%E -3.86%K -12.26%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.99%EV +1.68%E +0.245%K +0.287%G +0.005%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV -3.53%E -0.752%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.74%EV -3.70%E -2.48%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV +0.195%E +0.029%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.97%EV -5.58%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-24 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.74%EV -3.70%E -2.48%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV +0.195%E +0.029%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.97%EV -5.58%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-24 18:25
Suprabets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.99%EV -5.64%E -3.86%K -12.26%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.38%EV -2.03%E -0.308%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.63%EV -5.58%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 18:24
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -4.35%E -2.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -3.52%E -0.541%K -0.639%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -12.77%E -3.00%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-24 18:15
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.28%E -4.33%K -13.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -3.52%E -0.541%K -0.639%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-24 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -8.22%E -5.79%K -19.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -3.52%E -0.541%K -0.639%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-24 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -12.10%E -8.90%K -33.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -3.52%E -0.541%K -0.639%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -11.13%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-24 18:30
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.10%EV -5.64%E -3.86%K -12.26%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -5.00%E -0.781%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -9.69%E -2.20%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-24 18:25
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.26%EV -6.28%E -4.33%K -13.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -5.00%E -0.781%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -9.69%E -2.20%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-24 18:25
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -4.35%E -2.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.88%EV -6.49%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -11.74%E -2.73%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-24 18:15
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -4.35%E -2.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.88%EV -6.49%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -11.74%E -2.73%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-24 18:10
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.93%E -4.81%K -15.75%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -7.23%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.58%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-24 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.55%EV -8.87%E -6.29%K -21.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -7.23%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -3.53%E -0.752%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-24 18:25
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.04%EV -6.93%E -4.81%K -15.75%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -7.23%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -10.72%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-24 18:25
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -4.35%E -2.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.58%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-24 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -4.35%E -2.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.58%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-24 18:20
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -4.35%E -2.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.58%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-24 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -4.35%E -2.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.58%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-24 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -8.22%E -5.79%K -19.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -1.48%E -0.308%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-24 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.99%EV -8.22%E -5.79%K -19.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -3.53%E -0.752%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-24 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.58%E -5.30%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-24 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.34%EV -7.58%E -5.30%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -13.79%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-24 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.34%EV -7.58%E -5.30%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -13.79%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-24 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.34%EV -7.58%E -5.30%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -13.79%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-24 18:25
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -9.52%E -6.80%K -23.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.13%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-24 18:15
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -9.52%E -6.80%K -23.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -10.94%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.13%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-24 18:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.60%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-09-24 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.60%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-09-24 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.60%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-09-24 18:30