Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

VfB Stuttgart v Celtic

Начало: 2026-02-26 17:45 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

57 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

VfB Stuttgart (Хозяева)

Прогноз 71.72%1.39справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.03%
Преимущество -0.743%
Kelly -2.70%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.38

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
68.82%71.67%71.71%73.33%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.271.311.311.3878.74%76.08%76.34%72.46%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Celtic (Гости)

Прогноз 12.17%8.22справедливый коэффициент
EV +7.12%
Преимущество +0.809%
Kelly +0.912%
Рост +0.065%

при максимальном коэффициенте 8.80

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
10.92%12.16%12.17%14.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
6.507.757.608.8015.38%12.90%13.16%11.36%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 16.11%6.21справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.96%
Преимущество +0.309%
Kelly +0.367%
Рост +0.007%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.33

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.06%16.17%16.11%17.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.505.795.756.3318.18%17.26%17.39%15.80%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: VfB Stuttgart (Хозяева): 71.72%; Celtic (Гости): 12.17%; Ничья: 16.11%. Для исхода «Celtic (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 8.22. 14 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 8.80, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +7.12%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.33%EV -6.05%E -4.62%K -19.50%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.92%EV +7.12%E +0.809%K +0.912%G +0.065%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -1.75%E -0.287%K -0.343%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 17:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.26%EV -3.18%E -2.35%K -9.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.48%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.26%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-26 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.26%EV -3.18%E -2.35%K -9.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.48%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.26%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-26 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.26%EV -3.18%E -2.35%K -9.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.48%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.26%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-26 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.41%EV -3.89%E -2.91%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.42%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.17%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-26 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 17:24
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.49%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%8.18I 12.22%NM 11.79%EV -0.430%E -0.053%K -0.060%G +0.000%6.13I 16.31%NM 15.73%EV -1.26%E -0.206%K -0.247%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 17:35
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.96%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.82%EV -1.40%E -0.173%K -0.198%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.22%EV -4.97%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 17:28
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.20%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 17:00
Suprabets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.16%EV -6.05%E -4.62%K -19.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.02%EV -4.97%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:37
Everygame🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 17:10
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 17:19
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -6.58%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 17:30
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 17:30
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 17:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -8.91%E -7.02%K -33.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -9.80%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -8.91%E -7.02%K -33.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -9.80%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.83%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.25%EV -5.06%E -0.648%K -0.743%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.05%E -4.62%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -5.66%E -0.731%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.96%EV -4.97%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 17:20
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.92%EV -1.03%E -0.743%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.70%EV -7.49%E -0.986%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.39%EV -10.61%E -1.91%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 17:10
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.92%EV -1.03%E -0.743%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.70%EV -7.49%E -0.986%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.39%EV -10.61%E -1.91%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 17:10
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.18%E -2.35%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.59I 13.18%NM 12.79%EV -7.61%E -1.00%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 15.33%EV +1.96%E +0.309%K +0.367%G +0.007%3.0%2026-02-26 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.83%EV -2.46%E -1.81%K -6.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.84%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.33%EV -4.97%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.83%EV -2.46%E -1.81%K -6.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.84%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.33%EV -4.97%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.39%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV +0.668%E +0.107%K +0.127%G +0.001%6.3%2026-02-26 17:00
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.79%EV -6.05%E -4.62%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.67%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 17:00
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:30
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.30%EV -6.05%E -4.62%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 17:35
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.30%EV -6.05%E -4.62%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 17:38
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:39
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.26%EV -8.20%E -6.40%K -29.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-26 17:30
Fliff🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.07%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.56%EV -11.14%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -9.80%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:40
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.01%EV -3.89%E -2.91%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.13%EV -11.75%E -1.62%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.79%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.77%EV -11.75%E -1.62%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.01%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.63%EV -11.75%E -1.62%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV -9.80%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 17:39
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.84%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -14.79%E -2.11%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.84%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -14.79%E -2.11%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 16:40
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -14.79%E -2.11%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.52%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -14.79%E -2.11%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 16:40
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -14.79%E -2.11%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 16:45
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -14.79%E -2.11%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-26 16:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.44%EV -6.05%E -4.62%K -19.50%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.37%EV -16.01%E -2.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -8.19%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.34%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.65%EV -17.23%E -2.53%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -6.58%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 16:40
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.34%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.65%EV -17.23%E -2.53%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -6.58%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 16:40
TAB🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -3.18%E -2.35%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -20.88%E -3.21%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 17:15
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%0.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%0.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%0.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.07%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.48%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-02-26 17:40
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.21%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.42%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.37%1.8%2026-02-26 17:40