La escuela de los momios

VfB Stuttgart v Celtic

Inicio: 2026-02-26 17:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

VfB Stuttgart (Local)

Predicción 71.72%1.39momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.743%
Kelly -2.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.82%71.67%71.71%73.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.311.311.3878.74%76.08%76.34%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Celtic (Visitante)

Predicción 12.17%8.22momio equitativo
EV +7.12%
Ventaja +0.809%
Kelly +0.912%
Crecimiento +0.065%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.92%12.16%12.17%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.757.608.8015.38%12.90%13.16%11.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 16.11%6.21momio equitativo
EV +1.96%
Ventaja +0.309%
Kelly +0.367%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.06%16.17%16.11%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.505.795.756.3318.18%17.26%17.39%15.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.33%EV -6.05%E -4.62%K -19.50%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.92%EV +7.12%E +0.809%K +0.912%G +0.065%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -1.75%E -0.287%K -0.343%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 17:20
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 72.26%EV -3.18%E -2.35%K -9.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.48%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.26%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-26 17:10
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 72.26%EV -3.18%E -2.35%K -9.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.48%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.26%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-26 17:10
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 72.26%EV -3.18%E -2.35%K -9.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.48%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.26%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-26 17:10
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.41%EV -3.89%E -2.91%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.42%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.17%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-26 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 17:24
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 72.49%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%8.18I 12.22%NM 11.79%EV -0.430%E -0.053%K -0.060%G +0.000%6.13I 16.31%NM 15.73%EV -1.26%E -0.206%K -0.247%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 17:35
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.96%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.82%EV -1.40%E -0.173%K -0.198%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.22%EV -4.97%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 17:28
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 72.20%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 17:00
Suprabets1.31I 76.34%NM 72.16%EV -6.05%E -4.62%K -19.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.02%EV -4.97%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:37
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 17:10
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 17:19
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -6.58%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 17:30
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 17:30
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -8.91%E -7.02%K -33.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -9.80%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -8.91%E -7.02%K -33.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -9.80%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Codere (IT)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.83%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.25%EV -5.06%E -0.648%K -0.743%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.05%E -4.62%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -5.66%E -0.731%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.96%EV -4.97%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 17:20
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.92%EV -1.03%E -0.743%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.70%EV -7.49%E -0.986%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.39%EV -10.61%E -1.91%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 17:10
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 69.92%EV -1.03%E -0.743%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.70%EV -7.49%E -0.986%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.39%EV -10.61%E -1.91%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 17:10
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.18%E -2.35%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.59I 13.18%NM 12.79%EV -7.61%E -1.00%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 15.33%EV +1.96%E +0.309%K +0.367%G +0.007%3.0%2026-02-26 17:40
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.83%EV -2.46%E -1.81%K -6.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.84%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.33%EV -4.97%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 17:00
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.83%EV -2.46%E -1.81%K -6.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.84%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.33%EV -4.97%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.39%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV +0.668%E +0.107%K +0.127%G +0.001%6.3%2026-02-26 17:00
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.79%EV -6.05%E -4.62%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.67%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 17:00
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:30
BetUS1.31I 76.34%NM 71.30%EV -6.05%E -4.62%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 17:35
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 71.30%EV -6.05%E -4.62%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 17:38
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:39
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:40
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:40
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:40
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.26%EV -8.20%E -6.40%K -29.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-26 17:30
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 71.07%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.56%EV -11.14%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -9.80%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:40
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 71.01%EV -3.89%E -2.91%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.13%EV -11.75%E -1.62%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 16:50
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.79%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.77%EV -11.75%E -1.62%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 17:00
NetBet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.01%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.63%EV -11.75%E -1.62%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV -9.80%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 17:39
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.84%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -14.79%E -2.11%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.84%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -14.79%E -2.11%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 16:40
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -14.79%E -2.11%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:35
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.52%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -14.79%E -2.11%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 16:40
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -14.79%E -2.11%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 16:45
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -14.79%E -2.11%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-26 16:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.44%EV -6.05%E -4.62%K -19.50%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.37%EV -16.01%E -2.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -8.19%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.34%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.65%EV -17.23%E -2.53%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -6.58%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 16:40
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 70.34%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.65%EV -17.23%E -2.53%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -6.58%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 16:40
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -3.18%E -2.35%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -20.88%E -3.21%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 17:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%0.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%0.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%0.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.07%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.48%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-02-26 17:40
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.21%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.42%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.37%1.8%2026-02-26 17:40