L’École des cotes

VfB Stuttgart v Celtic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-26 17:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

VfB Stuttgart (Local)

Prévision 71.72%1.39cote équitable
EV -1.03%
Avantage -0.743%
Kelly -2.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.82%71.67%71.71%73.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.271.311.311.3878.74%76.08%76.34%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Celtic (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.17%8.22cote équitable
EV +7.12%
Avantage +0.809%
Kelly +0.912%
Croissance +0.065%

avec la cote maximale 8.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.92%12.16%12.17%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.757.608.8015.38%12.90%13.16%11.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 16.11%6.21cote équitable
EV +1.96%
Avantage +0.309%
Kelly +0.367%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 6.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.06%16.17%16.11%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.505.795.756.3318.18%17.26%17.39%15.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.33%EV -6.05%E -4.62%K -19.50%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.92%EV +7.12%E +0.809%K +0.912%G +0.065%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -1.75%E -0.287%K -0.343%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 17:20
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 72.26%EV -3.18%E -2.35%K -9.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.48%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.26%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-26 17:10
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 72.26%EV -3.18%E -2.35%K -9.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.48%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.26%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-26 17:10
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 72.26%EV -3.18%E -2.35%K -9.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.48%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.26%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-26 17:10
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.41%EV -3.89%E -2.91%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.42%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.17%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-26 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV +3.47%E +0.408%K +0.462%G +0.016%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 17:24
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 72.49%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%8.18I 12.22%NM 11.79%EV -0.430%E -0.053%K -0.060%G +0.000%6.13I 16.31%NM 15.73%EV -1.26%E -0.206%K -0.247%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 17:35
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.96%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.82%EV -1.40%E -0.173%K -0.198%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.22%EV -4.97%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 17:28
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 72.20%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 17:00
Suprabets1.31I 76.34%NM 72.16%EV -6.05%E -4.62%K -19.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.02%EV -4.97%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:37
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 17:10
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 17:19
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -6.58%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 17:30
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 17:30
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -8.91%E -7.02%K -33.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -9.80%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -8.91%E -7.02%K -33.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -2.62%E -0.328%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -9.80%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Codere (IT)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.83%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.25%EV -5.06%E -0.648%K -0.743%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.05%E -4.62%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -5.66%E -0.731%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.96%EV -4.97%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 17:20
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.92%EV -1.03%E -0.743%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.70%EV -7.49%E -0.986%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.39%EV -10.61%E -1.91%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 17:10
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 69.92%EV -1.03%E -0.743%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.70%EV -7.49%E -0.986%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.39%EV -10.61%E -1.91%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 17:10
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.18%E -2.35%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.59I 13.18%NM 12.79%EV -7.61%E -1.00%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 15.33%EV +1.96%E +0.309%K +0.367%G +0.007%3.0%2026-02-26 17:40
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.83%EV -2.46%E -1.81%K -6.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.84%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.33%EV -4.97%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 17:00
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.83%EV -2.46%E -1.81%K -6.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.84%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.33%EV -4.97%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.39%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV +0.668%E +0.107%K +0.127%G +0.001%6.3%2026-02-26 17:00
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.79%EV -6.05%E -4.62%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.67%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 17:00
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:30
BetUS1.31I 76.34%NM 71.30%EV -6.05%E -4.62%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 17:35
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 71.30%EV -6.05%E -4.62%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 17:38
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:39
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:40
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:40
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:40
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.26%EV -8.20%E -6.40%K -29.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -8.71%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-26 17:30
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 71.07%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.56%EV -11.14%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -9.80%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:40
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 71.01%EV -3.89%E -2.91%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.13%EV -11.75%E -1.62%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 16:50
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.79%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.77%EV -11.75%E -1.62%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 17:00
NetBet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.01%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.63%EV -11.75%E -1.62%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV -9.80%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 17:39
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.84%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -14.79%E -2.11%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.84%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -14.79%E -2.11%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -3.36%E -0.560%K -0.672%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 16:40
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -14.79%E -2.11%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:35
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.52%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -14.79%E -2.11%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.39%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 16:40
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -4.61%E -3.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -14.79%E -2.11%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 16:45
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -7.48%E -5.80%K -25.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -14.79%E -2.11%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-26 16:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.44%EV -6.05%E -4.62%K -19.50%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.37%EV -16.01%E -2.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -8.19%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.34%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.65%EV -17.23%E -2.53%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -6.58%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 16:40
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 70.34%EV -5.33%E -4.04%K -16.65%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.65%EV -17.23%E -2.53%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -6.58%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 16:40
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -3.18%E -2.35%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -20.88%E -3.21%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -11.41%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 17:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%0.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%0.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%0.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.07%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.48%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-02-26 17:40
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.21%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.42%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.37%1.8%2026-02-26 17:40