Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

SC Freiburg v Celta Vigo

Początek: 2026-04-09 19:02 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

SC Freiburg (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 43.34%2.31kurs godziwy
EV -2.48%
Przewaga -1.10%
Kelly -1.98%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
42.01%43.29%43.33%44.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.102.172.152.2547.62%46.16%46.51%44.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Celta Vigo (Goście)

Prognoza 26.81%3.73kurs godziwy
EV -2.13%
Przewaga -0.584%
Kelly -0.804%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.65

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.07%26.87%26.83%27.99%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.353.513.503.6529.85%28.48%28.57%27.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 29.84%3.35kurs godziwy
EV -1.52%
Przewaga -0.460%
Kelly -0.659%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.41%29.85%29.85%31.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.983.163.203.3033.56%31.63%31.25%30.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: SC Freiburg (Gospodarze): 43.34%; Celta Vigo (Goście): 26.81%; Remis: 29.84%. Dla wyniku Remis oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.35. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 3.30, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.52%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.63%EV -2.48%E -1.10%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.97%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.73%EV -3.35%E -1.50%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV -2.13%E -0.584%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55%EV -1.52%E -0.460%K -0.659%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-09 19:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.73%EV -3.35%E -1.50%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV -2.13%E -0.584%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55%EV -1.52%E -0.460%K -0.659%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-09 19:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.73%EV -3.35%E -1.50%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV -2.13%E -0.584%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55%EV -1.52%E -0.460%K -0.659%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-09 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.30%EV -3.35%E -1.50%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.53%EV -2.40%E -0.659%K -0.908%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.17%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 18:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.50%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.60%EV -2.67%E -0.735%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.90%EV -3.61%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 18:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.50%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.60%EV -2.67%E -0.735%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.90%EV -3.61%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 19:00
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.75%EV -4.21%E -1.91%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV -2.13%E -0.584%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.75%EV -3.01%E -0.926%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 18:59
ReBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.55%EV -4.21%E -1.91%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -3.31%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-09 18:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.06%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -2.13%E -0.584%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -1.52%E -0.460%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 19:00
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.54%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV -3.01%E -0.926%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 19:00
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -5.99%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 18:59
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 19:01
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 19:01
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 19:00
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.19%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.67%EV -6.69%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -11.07%E -3.71%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-09 18:59
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 18:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.45%EV -5.08%E -2.32%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 19:00
Suprabets🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -5.08%E -2.32%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.47%EV -4.01%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.27%EV -6.59%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 19:00
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 19:01
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 19:00
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 18:59
betPARX🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 19:00
Bally Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 19:01
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 19:01
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 18:59
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 19:01
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-09 19:00
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-09 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -10.17%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -1.52%E -0.460%K -0.659%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 19:00
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 19:00
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 18:59
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 19:00
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 19:01
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 18:59
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 18:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 18:59
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 18:59
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 18:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 18:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -8.98%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-09 19:00
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -7.25%E -3.39%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 19:00
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -7.25%E -3.39%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 19:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -8.11%E -3.83%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -5.99%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.11%E -3.83%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-09 19:01
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.11%E -3.83%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-09 19:01
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.98%E -4.28%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.01%E -0.926%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 19:01
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -8.98%E -4.28%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -10.17%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -3.01%E -0.926%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 18:59
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.98%E -4.28%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-09 19:00
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -8.98%E -4.28%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -8.98%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-09 19:01
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 43.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.28%0.1%2026-04-09 19:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-04-09 19:01
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-04-09 19:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-09 19:00
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-04-09 19:01
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%3.1%2026-04-09 19:00