La scuola delle quote

SC Freiburg v Celta Vigo

Inizio: 2026-04-09 19:02 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

SC Freiburg (Casa)

Previsione 43.34%2.31quota equa
EV -2.48%
Vantaggio -1.10%
Kelly -1.98%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.01%43.29%43.33%44.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.172.152.2547.62%46.16%46.51%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Celta Vigo (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.81%3.73quota equa
EV -2.13%
Vantaggio -0.584%
Kelly -0.804%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.07%26.87%26.83%27.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.353.513.503.6529.85%28.48%28.57%27.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.84%3.35quota equa
EV -1.52%
Vantaggio -0.460%
Kelly -0.659%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.41%29.85%29.85%31.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.983.163.203.3033.56%31.63%31.25%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 42.63%EV -2.48%E -1.10%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.97%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 19:00
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.73%EV -3.35%E -1.50%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV -2.13%E -0.584%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55%EV -1.52%E -0.460%K -0.659%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-09 19:00
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.73%EV -3.35%E -1.50%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV -2.13%E -0.584%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55%EV -1.52%E -0.460%K -0.659%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-09 19:01
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.73%EV -3.35%E -1.50%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV -2.13%E -0.584%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55%EV -1.52%E -0.460%K -0.659%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-09 19:00
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.30%EV -3.35%E -1.50%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.53%EV -2.40%E -0.659%K -0.908%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.17%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 18:59
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.50%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.60%EV -2.67%E -0.735%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.90%EV -3.61%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 18:59
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.50%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.60%EV -2.67%E -0.735%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.90%EV -3.61%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 19:00
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.75%EV -4.21%E -1.91%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV -2.13%E -0.584%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.75%EV -3.01%E -0.926%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 18:59
ReBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.55%EV -4.21%E -1.91%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -3.31%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-09 18:59
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.06%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -2.13%E -0.584%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -1.52%E -0.460%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 19:00
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.54%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV -3.01%E -0.926%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 19:00
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -5.99%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 18:59
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 19:01
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 19:01
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 19:00
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 19:00
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.19%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.67%EV -6.69%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -11.07%E -3.71%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-09 18:59
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 18:59
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 43.45%EV -5.08%E -2.32%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 19:00
Suprabets2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -5.08%E -2.32%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.47%EV -4.01%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.27%EV -6.59%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 19:00
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 19:01
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 19:00
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 18:59
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 19:00
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 19:01
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 19:01
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 18:59
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 19:01
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-09 19:00
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-09 19:00
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -10.17%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -1.52%E -0.460%K -0.659%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 19:00
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 19:00
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 18:59
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 19:00
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 19:01
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 18:59
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 18:59
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 18:59
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 18:59
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 19:00
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 18:59
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -8.98%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-09 19:00
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -7.25%E -3.39%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 19:00
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -7.25%E -3.39%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 19:00
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -8.11%E -3.83%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -5.99%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 19:00
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.11%E -3.83%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-09 19:01
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.11%E -3.83%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-09 19:01
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.98%E -4.28%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.01%E -0.926%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 19:01
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -8.98%E -4.28%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -10.17%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -3.01%E -0.926%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 18:59
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.98%E -4.28%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-09 19:00
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -8.98%E -4.28%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -8.98%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-09 19:01
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 43.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.28%0.1%2026-04-09 19:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-04-09 19:01
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-04-09 19:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-09 19:00
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-04-09 19:01
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%3.1%2026-04-09 19:00