Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: SC Freiburg (Casa): 43.34%; Celta Vigo (Trasferta): 26.81%; Pareggio: 29.84%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.35. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.30, con un valore atteso del -1.52%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.63%EV -2.48%E -1.10%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.97%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.73%EV -3.35%E -1.50%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV -2.13%E -0.584%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55%EV -1.52%E -0.460%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.73%EV -3.35%E -1.50%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV -2.13%E -0.584%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55%EV -1.52%E -0.460%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-09 19:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.73%EV -3.35%E -1.50%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV -2.13%E -0.584%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55%EV -1.52%E -0.460%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.30%EV -3.35%E -1.50%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.53%EV -2.40%E -0.659%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.17%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-09 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.50%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.60%EV -2.67%E -0.735%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.90%EV -3.61%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-09 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.50%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.60%EV -2.67%E -0.735%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.90%EV -3.61%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.75%EV -4.21%E -1.91%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV -2.13%E -0.584%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.75%EV -3.01%E -0.926%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 18:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.55%EV -4.21%E -1.91%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -3.31%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-09 18:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.06%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -2.13%E -0.584%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -1.52%E -0.460%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.54%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV -3.01%E -0.926%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -5.99%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 18:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 19:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 19:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.19%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.67%EV -6.69%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -11.07%E -3.71%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-09 18:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-09 18:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.45%EV -5.08%E -2.32%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -5.08%E -2.32%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.47%EV -4.01%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.27%EV -6.59%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 19:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 18:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 19:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-09 19:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-09 18:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-09 19:01 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -10.17%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -1.52%E -0.460%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 18:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 19:01 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 18:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 18:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 18:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-09 18:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-09 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-09 18:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -8.98%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -7.25%E -3.39%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -7.25%E -3.39%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -8.11%E -3.83%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -5.99%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.11%E -3.83%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-09 19:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.11%E -3.83%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-09 19:01 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.98%E -4.28%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.01%E -0.926%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 19:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -8.98%E -4.28%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -10.17%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -3.01%E -0.926%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-09 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.98%E -4.28%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -8.98%E -4.28%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -8.98%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-09 19:01 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.07% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.65% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.28% | 0.1% | 2026-04-09 19:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 19:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 19:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 1.6% | 2026-04-09 19:01 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13% | 3.1% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |