مدرسة الاحتمالات

SC Freiburg v Celta Vigo

البداية: 2026-04-09 19:02 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

SC Freiburg (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.34%2.31السعر العادل
EV -2.48%
الأفضلية -1.10%
Kelly -1.98%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.01%43.29%43.33%44.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.172.152.2547.62%46.16%46.51%44.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Celta Vigo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.81%3.73السعر العادل
EV -2.13%
الأفضلية -0.584%
Kelly -0.804%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.07%26.87%26.83%27.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.353.513.503.6529.85%28.48%28.57%27.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.84%3.35السعر العادل
EV -1.52%
الأفضلية -0.460%
Kelly -0.659%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.41%29.85%29.85%31.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.983.163.203.3033.56%31.63%31.25%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 42.63%EV -2.48%E -1.10%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.97%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 19:00
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.73%EV -3.35%E -1.50%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV -2.13%E -0.584%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55%EV -1.52%E -0.460%K -0.659%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-09 19:00
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.73%EV -3.35%E -1.50%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV -2.13%E -0.584%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55%EV -1.52%E -0.460%K -0.659%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-09 19:01
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.73%EV -3.35%E -1.50%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV -2.13%E -0.584%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55%EV -1.52%E -0.460%K -0.659%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-09 19:00
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.30%EV -3.35%E -1.50%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.53%EV -2.40%E -0.659%K -0.908%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.17%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 18:59
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.50%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.60%EV -2.67%E -0.735%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.90%EV -3.61%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 18:59
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.50%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.60%EV -2.67%E -0.735%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.90%EV -3.61%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 19:00
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.75%EV -4.21%E -1.91%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV -2.13%E -0.584%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.75%EV -3.01%E -0.926%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 18:59
ReBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.55%EV -4.21%E -1.91%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -3.31%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-09 18:59
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.06%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -2.13%E -0.584%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -1.52%E -0.460%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 19:00
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.54%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV -3.01%E -0.926%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 19:00
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -5.99%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 18:59
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 19:01
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 19:01
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 19:00
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 19:00
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.19%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.67%EV -6.69%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -11.07%E -3.71%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-09 18:59
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 18:59
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 43.45%EV -5.08%E -2.32%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 19:00
Suprabets2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -5.08%E -2.32%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.47%EV -4.01%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.27%EV -6.59%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 19:00
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 19:01
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 19:00
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 18:59
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 19:00
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 19:01
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 19:01
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 18:59
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 19:01
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-09 19:00
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-09 19:00
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -10.17%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -1.52%E -0.460%K -0.659%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 19:00
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 19:00
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 18:59
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 19:00
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 19:01
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 18:59
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 18:59
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 18:59
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 18:59
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 19:00
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 18:59
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -8.98%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-09 19:00
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -7.25%E -3.39%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 19:00
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -7.25%E -3.39%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 19:00
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -8.11%E -3.83%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -5.99%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 19:00
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.11%E -3.83%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-09 19:01
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.11%E -3.83%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-09 19:01
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.98%E -4.28%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.01%E -0.926%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 19:01
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -8.98%E -4.28%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -10.17%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -3.01%E -0.926%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 18:59
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.98%E -4.28%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.49%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-09 19:00
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -8.98%E -4.28%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -8.98%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-09 19:01
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 43.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.28%0.1%2026-04-09 19:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-04-09 19:01
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-04-09 19:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-09 19:00
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-04-09 19:01
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%3.1%2026-04-09 19:00