La scuola delle quote

SC Braga v Real Betis

Inizio: 2026-04-08 16:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

SC Braga (Casa)

Previsione 39.16%2.55quota equa
EV +1.83%
Vantaggio +0.703%
Kelly +1.14%
Crescita +0.021%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.21%39.11%39.15%40.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.442.402.6043.48%40.97%41.67%38.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Real Betis (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.37%3.29quota equa
EV +0.205%
Vantaggio +0.062%
Kelly +0.089%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.17%30.40%30.35%32.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.053.103.3035.71%32.77%32.26%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.47%3.28quota equa
EV -0.971%
Vantaggio -0.299%
Kelly -0.432%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.58%30.49%30.50%31.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.103.103.2533.33%32.25%32.26%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.33%EV +1.83%E +0.703%K +1.14%G +0.021%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -2.49%E -0.780%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-08 16:15
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.33%EV +1.83%E +0.703%K +1.14%G +0.021%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -2.49%E -0.780%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-08 16:15
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 37.33%EV +1.83%E +0.703%K +1.14%G +0.021%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -2.49%E -0.780%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-08 16:15
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.33%EV +1.83%E +0.703%K +1.14%G +0.021%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -2.49%E -0.780%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-08 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -0.131%E -0.051%K -0.085%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:15
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -0.131%E -0.051%K -0.085%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:15
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -0.131%E -0.051%K -0.085%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:15
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -0.131%E -0.051%K -0.085%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:15
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -0.131%E -0.051%K -0.085%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:15
Coolbet2.54I 39.37%NM 37.86%EV -0.523%E -0.206%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.72%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.42%EV -6.76%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 16:29
LowVig.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.21%EV -0.914%E -0.361%K -0.598%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.59%EV -7.08%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.21%EV -2.49%E -0.780%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-08 16:24
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.21%EV -0.914%E -0.361%K -0.598%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.59%EV -7.08%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.21%EV -2.49%E -0.780%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-08 16:25
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -2.09%E -0.836%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -11.94%E -4.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 16:15
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -2.09%E -0.836%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -11.94%E -4.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 16:15
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -2.09%E -0.836%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -11.94%E -4.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 16:15
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21%EV -2.09%E -0.836%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -12.55%E -4.36%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-08 16:15
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -3.26%E -1.32%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.51%EV -3.74%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.32%EV -2.80%E -0.878%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-08 16:40
1xBet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.61%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.77%EV -1.01%E -0.310%K -0.447%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.62%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-08 16:35
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.31%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.06%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -0.971%E -0.299%K -0.432%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 16:25
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 39.31%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.06%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -0.971%E -0.299%K -0.432%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 16:25
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 39.13%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.43%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.43%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 16:05
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 38.94%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 15:55
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 15:50
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:40
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -4.83%E -1.99%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -14.98%E -5.35%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 16:15
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -4.83%E -1.99%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -14.98%E -5.35%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 16:15
Codere (IT)2.41I 41.49%NM 39.33%EV -5.61%E -2.33%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 16:25
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -2.83%E -0.885%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 16:25
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 16:10
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 16:24
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 16:25
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 15:45
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 16:05
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 16:05
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 16:05
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 16:29
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 16:30
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 16:40
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.57%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.26%EV +0.205%E +0.062%K +0.089%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.17%EV -2.49%E -0.780%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 16:35
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 16:30
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 16:10
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:05
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:04
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:05
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:05
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:05
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -7.18%E -3.03%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 16:10
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 16:21
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 16:10
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 16:10
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.73%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.45%EV -3.74%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.81%EV -7.67%E -2.53%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 16:24
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -2.83%E -0.885%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 16:05
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 16:30
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-08 16:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 39.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.20%0.2%2026-04-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-04-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-04-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-04-08 16:40
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30%1.4%2026-04-08 16:40
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.83%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%2.9%2026-04-08 16:40