مدرسة الاحتمالات

SC Braga v Real Betis

البداية: 2026-04-08 16:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

SC Braga (المضيف)

التنبؤ 39.16%2.55السعر العادل
EV +1.83%
الأفضلية +0.703%
Kelly +1.14%
النمو +0.021%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.21%39.11%39.15%40.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.442.402.6043.48%40.97%41.67%38.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Real Betis (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.37%3.29السعر العادل
EV +0.205%
الأفضلية +0.062%
Kelly +0.089%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.17%30.40%30.35%32.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.053.103.3035.71%32.77%32.26%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.47%3.28السعر العادل
EV -0.971%
الأفضلية -0.299%
Kelly -0.432%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.58%30.49%30.50%31.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.103.103.2533.33%32.25%32.26%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.33%EV +1.83%E +0.703%K +1.14%G +0.021%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -2.49%E -0.780%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-08 16:15
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.33%EV +1.83%E +0.703%K +1.14%G +0.021%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -2.49%E -0.780%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-08 16:15
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 37.33%EV +1.83%E +0.703%K +1.14%G +0.021%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -2.49%E -0.780%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-08 16:15
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.33%EV +1.83%E +0.703%K +1.14%G +0.021%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -2.49%E -0.780%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-08 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -0.131%E -0.051%K -0.085%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:15
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -0.131%E -0.051%K -0.085%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:15
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -0.131%E -0.051%K -0.085%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:15
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -0.131%E -0.051%K -0.085%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:15
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -0.131%E -0.051%K -0.085%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:15
Coolbet2.54I 39.37%NM 37.86%EV -0.523%E -0.206%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.72%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.42%EV -6.76%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 16:29
LowVig.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.21%EV -0.914%E -0.361%K -0.598%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.59%EV -7.08%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.21%EV -2.49%E -0.780%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-08 16:24
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.21%EV -0.914%E -0.361%K -0.598%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.59%EV -7.08%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.21%EV -2.49%E -0.780%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-08 16:25
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -2.09%E -0.836%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -11.94%E -4.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 16:15
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -2.09%E -0.836%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -11.94%E -4.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 16:15
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -2.09%E -0.836%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -11.94%E -4.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 16:15
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21%EV -2.09%E -0.836%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -12.55%E -4.36%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-08 16:15
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -3.26%E -1.32%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.51%EV -3.74%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.32%EV -2.80%E -0.878%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-08 16:40
1xBet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.61%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.77%EV -1.01%E -0.310%K -0.447%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.62%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-08 16:35
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.31%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.06%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -0.971%E -0.299%K -0.432%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 16:25
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 39.31%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.06%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -0.971%E -0.299%K -0.432%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 16:25
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 39.13%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.43%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.43%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 16:05
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 38.94%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 15:55
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 15:50
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:40
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -4.83%E -1.99%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -14.98%E -5.35%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 16:15
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -4.83%E -1.99%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -14.98%E -5.35%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 16:15
Codere (IT)2.41I 41.49%NM 39.33%EV -5.61%E -2.33%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 16:25
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -2.83%E -0.885%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 16:25
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 16:10
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 16:24
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 16:25
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 15:45
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 16:05
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 16:05
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 16:05
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 16:29
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 16:30
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 16:40
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.57%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.26%EV +0.205%E +0.062%K +0.089%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.17%EV -2.49%E -0.780%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 16:35
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 16:30
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 16:10
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:05
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:04
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:05
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:05
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:05
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -7.18%E -3.03%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 16:10
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 16:21
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 16:10
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 16:10
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.73%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.45%EV -3.74%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.81%EV -7.67%E -2.53%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 16:24
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -2.83%E -0.885%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 16:05
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 16:30
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-08 16:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 39.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.20%0.2%2026-04-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-04-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-04-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-04-08 16:40
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30%1.4%2026-04-08 16:40
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.83%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%2.9%2026-04-08 16:40