L’École des cotes

SC Braga v Real Betis

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-08 16:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SC Braga (Local)

Prévision 39.16%2.55cote équitable
EV +1.83%
Avantage +0.703%
Kelly +1.14%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.21%39.11%39.15%40.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.442.402.6043.48%40.97%41.67%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Real Betis (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.37%3.29cote équitable
EV +0.205%
Avantage +0.062%
Kelly +0.089%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.17%30.40%30.35%32.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.053.103.3035.71%32.77%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.47%3.28cote équitable
EV -0.971%
Avantage -0.299%
Kelly -0.432%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.58%30.49%30.50%31.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.103.103.2533.33%32.25%32.26%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.33%EV +1.83%E +0.703%K +1.14%G +0.021%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -2.49%E -0.780%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-08 16:15
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.33%EV +1.83%E +0.703%K +1.14%G +0.021%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -2.49%E -0.780%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-08 16:15
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 37.33%EV +1.83%E +0.703%K +1.14%G +0.021%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -2.49%E -0.780%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-08 16:15
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.33%EV +1.83%E +0.703%K +1.14%G +0.021%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -2.49%E -0.780%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-08 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -0.131%E -0.051%K -0.085%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:15
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -0.131%E -0.051%K -0.085%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:15
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -0.131%E -0.051%K -0.085%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:15
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -0.131%E -0.051%K -0.085%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:15
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -0.131%E -0.051%K -0.085%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:15
Coolbet2.54I 39.37%NM 37.86%EV -0.523%E -0.206%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.72%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.42%EV -6.76%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 16:29
LowVig.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.21%EV -0.914%E -0.361%K -0.598%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.59%EV -7.08%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.21%EV -2.49%E -0.780%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-08 16:24
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.21%EV -0.914%E -0.361%K -0.598%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.59%EV -7.08%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.21%EV -2.49%E -0.780%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-08 16:25
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -2.09%E -0.836%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -11.94%E -4.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 16:15
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -2.09%E -0.836%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -11.94%E -4.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 16:15
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -2.09%E -0.836%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -11.94%E -4.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 16:15
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21%EV -2.09%E -0.836%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -12.55%E -4.36%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-08 16:15
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -3.26%E -1.32%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.51%EV -3.74%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.32%EV -2.80%E -0.878%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-08 16:40
1xBet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.61%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.77%EV -1.01%E -0.310%K -0.447%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.62%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-08 16:35
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.31%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.06%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -0.971%E -0.299%K -0.432%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 16:25
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 39.31%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.06%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -0.971%E -0.299%K -0.432%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 16:25
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 39.13%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.43%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.43%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 16:05
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 38.94%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 15:55
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 15:50
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:40
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -4.83%E -1.99%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -14.98%E -5.35%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 16:15
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -4.83%E -1.99%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -14.98%E -5.35%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 16:15
Codere (IT)2.41I 41.49%NM 39.33%EV -5.61%E -2.33%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 16:25
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -2.83%E -0.885%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 16:25
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 16:10
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 16:24
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 16:25
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 15:45
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 16:05
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 16:05
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 16:05
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 16:29
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 16:30
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 16:40
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.57%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.26%EV +0.205%E +0.062%K +0.089%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.17%EV -2.49%E -0.780%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 16:35
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 16:30
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 16:10
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:05
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:04
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:05
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:05
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 16:05
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -7.18%E -3.03%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 16:10
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 16:21
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 16:10
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 16:10
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.73%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.45%EV -3.74%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.81%EV -7.67%E -2.53%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 16:24
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -2.83%E -0.885%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 16:05
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 16:30
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-08 16:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 39.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.20%0.2%2026-04-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-04-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-04-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-04-08 16:40
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30%1.4%2026-04-08 16:40
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.83%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%2.9%2026-04-08 16:40