Language:English
SC Braga v Ferencváros TC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SC Braga (Local)
Prediction 65.52%1.53fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -3.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.13%65.40%65.62%66.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.441.441.5072.46%69.40%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ferencváros TC (Visit)
Prediction 14.03%7.13fair odd
EV +5.25%
Edge +0.700%
Kelly +0.808%
Growth +0.042%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.90%14.15%13.98%16.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.626.507.5017.39%15.11%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.44%4.89fair odd
EV -0.650%
Edge -0.134%
Kelly -0.168%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.44%20.45%20.40%21.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.624.604.8622.73%21.62%21.74%20.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Braga (Local): 65.52%; Ferencváros TC (Visit): 14.03%; Draw: 20.44%. For Ferencváros TC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.13. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.42%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.02%EV +5.25%E +0.700%K +0.808%G +0.042% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.56%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-18 15:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.73%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.90%EV +5.25%E +0.700%K +0.808%G +0.042% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.37%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-18 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.94%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.65%EV -0.364%E -0.051%K -0.060%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.41%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-18 15:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 7.07I 14.14%NM 13.64%EV -0.785%E -0.111%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.84%EV -0.650%E -0.134%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-18 15:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.37%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-18 15:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.37%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-18 15:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.37%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-18 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.37%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-18 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.38%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 11:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.13%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.26%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-18 15:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-18 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-18 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-18 15:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-18 15:18 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -7.61%E -5.40%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-18 15:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -7.61%E -5.40%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-18 15:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -7.61%E -5.40%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-18 15:17 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-18 15:15 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.30%EV -6.30%E -4.41%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.74%EV -3.17%E -0.459%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-18 15:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.84I 14.62%NM 13.86%EV -4.01%E -0.587%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.75%EV -6.58%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-18 14:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.87%EV -9.58%E -6.94%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -5.28%E -0.782%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-18 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.87%EV -9.58%E -6.94%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -5.28%E -0.782%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-18 15:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.89%EV -6.30%E -4.41%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.06%EV -5.98%E -0.892%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-18 12:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.28%EV -4.33%E -2.97%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.44%EV -7.38%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-18 13:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-18 15:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-18 15:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-18 15:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.04%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -1.88%E -0.391%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-18 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-18 13:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-18 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-18 15:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-18 15:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -8.27%E -5.90%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-18 14:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-18 15:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.27%E -5.90%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-18 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.27%E -5.90%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-18 15:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -10.19%E -1.59%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.53%EV -6.99%E -1.54%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-18 15:03 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.61%EV -1.71%E -1.14%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.29%EV -11.03%E -1.74%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.11%EV -1.47%E -0.304%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-18 15:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.02%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -12.29%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-18 11:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -12.29%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-18 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.02%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.80%E -2.63%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-18 10:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.02%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.80%E -2.63%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-18 11:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -3.02%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -15.80%E -2.63%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-18 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -15.80%E -2.63%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -1.88%E -0.391%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-18 12:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -15.80%E -2.63%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-18 14:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -15.80%E -2.63%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-18 12:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -3.02%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -18.61%E -3.21%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-18 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -3.02%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -18.61%E -3.21%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-18 10:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -19.31%E -3.36%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -1.88%E -0.391%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-18 15:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.96% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56% | 0.2% | 2026-03-18 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.70% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 0.6% | 2026-03-18 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.70% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 0.6% | 2026-03-18 15:19 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.70% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 0.6% | 2026-03-18 15:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.45% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.80% | 1.0% | 2026-03-18 15:19 |