La escuela de los momiosSC Braga v Ferencváros TC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
SC Braga (Local)
Predicción 65.52%1.53momio equitativo
EV -1.71%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -3.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.13%65.40%65.62%66.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.441.441.5072.46%69.40%69.44%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ferencváros TC (Visitante)
Predicción 14.03%7.13momio equitativo
EV +5.25%
Ventaja +0.700%
Kelly +0.808%
Crecimiento +0.042%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.90%14.15%13.98%16.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.756.626.507.5017.39%15.11%15.38%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.44%4.89momio equitativo
EV -0.650%
Ventaja -0.134%
Kelly -0.168%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.44%20.45%20.40%21.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.624.604.8622.73%21.62%21.74%20.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.42%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.02%EV +5.25%E +0.700%K +0.808%G +0.042% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.56%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-18 15:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.73%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.90%EV +5.25%E +0.700%K +0.808%G +0.042% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.37%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-18 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.94%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.65%EV -0.364%E -0.051%K -0.060%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.41%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-18 15:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 7.07I 14.14%NM 13.64%EV -0.785%E -0.111%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.84%EV -0.650%E -0.134%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-18 15:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.37%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-18 15:19 |
| Betsson | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.37%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-18 15:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.37%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-18 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.37%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-18 15:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.38%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 11:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.13%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.26%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-18 15:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-18 15:00 |
| Casumo | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-18 15:00 |
| Unibet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-18 15:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-18 15:18 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -7.61%E -5.40%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-18 15:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -7.61%E -5.40%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-18 15:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -7.61%E -5.40%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-18 15:17 |
| Caesars | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-18 15:15 |
| Suprabets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.30%EV -6.30%E -4.41%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.74%EV -3.17%E -0.459%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-18 15:05 |
| BetUS | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.84I 14.62%NM 13.86%EV -4.01%E -0.587%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.75%EV -6.58%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-18 14:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.87%EV -9.58%E -6.94%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -5.28%E -0.782%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-18 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.87%EV -9.58%E -6.94%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -5.28%E -0.782%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-18 15:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.89%EV -6.30%E -4.41%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.06%EV -5.98%E -0.892%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-18 12:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.28%EV -4.33%E -2.97%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.44%EV -7.38%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-18 13:00 |
| Everygame | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-18 15:20 |
| Bovada | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-18 15:19 |
| TAB | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-18 15:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.04%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -1.88%E -0.391%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-18 15:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-18 13:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-18 15:00 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-18 15:04 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-18 15:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -8.27%E -5.90%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-18 14:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-18 15:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.27%E -5.90%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-18 15:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.27%E -5.90%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-18 15:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -10.19%E -1.59%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.53%EV -6.99%E -1.54%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-18 15:03 |
| 1xBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.61%EV -1.71%E -1.14%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.29%EV -11.03%E -1.74%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.11%EV -1.47%E -0.304%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-18 15:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.02%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -12.29%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-18 11:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -12.29%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-18 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.02%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.80%E -2.63%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-18 10:59 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.02%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.80%E -2.63%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-18 11:00 |
| Betway | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -3.02%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -15.80%E -2.63%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-18 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -15.80%E -2.63%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -1.88%E -0.391%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-18 12:39 |
| Bet Right | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -15.80%E -2.63%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-18 14:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -15.80%E -2.63%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-18 12:39 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -3.02%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -18.61%E -3.21%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-18 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -3.02%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -18.61%E -3.21%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-18 10:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -19.31%E -3.36%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -1.88%E -0.391%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-18 15:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.96% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56% | 0.2% | 2026-03-18 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.70% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 0.6% | 2026-03-18 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.70% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 0.6% | 2026-03-18 15:19 |
| Matchbook | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.70% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 0.6% | 2026-03-18 15:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.45% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.80% | 1.0% | 2026-03-18 15:19 |