مدرسة الاحتمالات

SC Braga v Ferencváros TC

البداية: 2026-03-18 15:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

SC Braga (المضيف)

التنبؤ 65.52%1.53السعر العادل
EV -1.71%
الأفضلية -1.14%
Kelly -3.43%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
63.13%65.40%65.62%66.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.381.441.441.5072.46%69.40%69.44%66.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Ferencváros TC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 14.03%7.13السعر العادل
EV +5.25%
الأفضلية +0.700%
Kelly +0.808%
النمو +0.042%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
12.90%14.15%13.98%16.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.756.626.507.5017.39%15.11%15.38%13.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 20.44%4.89السعر العادل
EV -0.650%
الأفضلية -0.134%
Kelly -0.168%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.86

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.44%20.45%20.40%21.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.404.624.604.8622.73%21.62%21.74%20.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 66.42%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.02%EV +5.25%E +0.700%K +0.808%G +0.042%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.56%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-18 15:20
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.73%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.90%EV +5.25%E +0.700%K +0.808%G +0.042%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.37%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 15:00
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.94%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.65%EV -0.364%E -0.051%K -0.060%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.41%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-18 15:20
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000%7.07I 14.14%NM 13.64%EV -0.785%E -0.111%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.84%EV -0.650%E -0.134%K -0.168%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-18 15:10
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.37%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 15:19
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.37%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 15:19
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.37%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 15:00
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.37%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 15:00
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.38%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 11:19
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 66.13%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.26%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 15:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-18 15:00
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-18 15:00
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-18 15:00
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 15:18
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -7.61%E -5.40%K -18.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 15:19
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -7.61%E -5.40%K -18.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 15:20
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -7.61%E -5.40%K -18.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 15:17
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -1.77%E -0.252%K -0.295%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 15:15
Suprabets1.43I 69.93%NM 66.30%EV -6.30%E -4.41%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.74%EV -3.17%E -0.459%K -0.537%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 15:05
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000%6.84I 14.62%NM 13.86%EV -4.01%E -0.587%K -0.687%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.75%EV -6.58%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 14:19
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.87%EV -9.58%E -6.94%K -25.20%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -5.28%E -0.782%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-18 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.87%EV -9.58%E -6.94%K -25.20%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -5.28%E -0.782%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-18 15:04
Parions Sport (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.89%EV -6.30%E -4.41%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.06%EV -5.98%E -0.892%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 12:40
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.28%EV -4.33%E -2.97%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.44%EV -7.38%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 13:00
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 15:20
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 15:19
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 15:19
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 66.04%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -1.88%E -0.391%K -0.494%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 15:00
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 13:20
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -3.92%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 15:00
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 15:04
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -10.05%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 15:04
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -8.27%E -5.90%K -20.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-18 14:59
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 15:05
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.27%E -5.90%K -20.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-18 15:00
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.27%E -5.90%K -20.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -8.78%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-18 15:04
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -10.19%E -1.59%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.53%EV -6.99%E -1.54%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 15:03
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.61%EV -1.71%E -1.14%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.29%EV -11.03%E -1.74%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.11%EV -1.47%E -0.304%K -0.384%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-18 15:20
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.02%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -12.29%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:00
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -12.29%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-18 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.02%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.80%E -2.63%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 10:59
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.02%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.80%E -2.63%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 11:00
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -3.02%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -15.80%E -2.63%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -15.80%E -2.63%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -1.88%E -0.391%K -0.494%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 12:39
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -15.80%E -2.63%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -2.90%E -0.610%K -0.773%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 14:50
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -15.80%E -2.63%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -5.96%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-18 12:39
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -3.02%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -18.61%E -3.21%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -3.02%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -18.61%E -3.21%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 10:59
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -19.31%E -3.36%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -1.88%E -0.391%K -0.494%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 15:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.96%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%0.2%2026-03-18 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.70%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%0.6%2026-03-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.70%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%0.6%2026-03-18 15:19
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.70%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%0.6%2026-03-18 15:20
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 66.45%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.80%1.0%2026-03-18 15:19