Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Red Star Belgrade v Lille

Начало: 2026-02-26 17:45 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Red Star Belgrade (Хозяева)

Прогноз 32.03%3.12справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.32%
Преимущество -0.761%
Kelly -1.13%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.05

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
31.10%32.03%32.01%33.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.802.922.923.0535.71%34.22%34.19%32.79%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Lille (Гости)

Прогноз 40.85%2.45справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.97%
Преимущество -0.821%
Kelly -1.41%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
40.09%40.86%40.81%41.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.202.302.302.4045.45%43.45%43.48%41.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 27.13%3.69справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.55%
Преимущество +0.674%
Kelly +0.917%
Рост +0.023%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.78

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.66%27.11%27.18%28.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.503.503.7830.30%28.58%28.57%26.46%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Red Star Belgrade (Хозяева): 32.03%; Lille (Гости): 40.85%; Ничья: 27.13%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.69. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.78, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.55%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичья ▼МаржаОбновлено
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.92%EV -8.41%E -2.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.42%EV -1.97%E -0.821%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.66%EV +2.55%E +0.674%K +0.917%G +0.023%3.1%2026-02-26 17:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.44%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.89%EV -2.79%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.66%EV -0.979%E -0.268%K -0.369%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-26 17:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.44%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.89%EV -2.79%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.66%EV -0.979%E -0.268%K -0.369%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-26 17:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.44%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.89%EV -2.79%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.66%EV -0.979%E -0.268%K -0.369%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-26 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.27%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV -0.979%E -0.268%K -0.369%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-26 17:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.80%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -0.979%E -0.268%K -0.369%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 17:25
Pinnacle🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.76%EV -2.32%E -0.761%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.40%EV -4.42%E -1.89%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.84%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 17:35
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%EV -1.97%E -0.821%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-26 17:39
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.05%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.80%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 17:25
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.05%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.80%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.05%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.80%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.09%EV -1.97%E -0.821%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 16:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.09%EV -1.97%E -0.821%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 16:10
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:30
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 17:30
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 17:30
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 17:30
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 17:30
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 17:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 17:20
Suprabets🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.00%EV -5.20%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.83%EV -4.23%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 17:37
Marathon Bet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.82%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.89%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.30%EV -4.51%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 17:35
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.91%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.74%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 15:30
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.91%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.74%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 17:00
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 17:20
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 17:30
BetUS🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.36%EV -7.28%E -3.21%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.36%EV -7.28%E -3.21%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:34
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:30
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:30
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:30
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 15:54
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-26 17:25
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.58%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -6.40%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 17:00
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.21%EV -3.20%E -1.35%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 17:10
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 17:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.80%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.61%EV -5.65%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 17:00
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 17:24
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 17:10
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 17:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 17:39
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:25
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-26 17:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 17:30
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-26 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-26 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-26 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-26 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-26 17:30
Fliff🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-26 17:35
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 16:50
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 17:20
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-02-26 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-02-26 17:40
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-02-26 17:35
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.36%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.5%2026-02-26 17:35