La escuela de los momios

Red Star Belgrade v Lille

Inicio: 2026-02-26 17:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Red Star Belgrade (Local)

Predicción 32.03%3.12momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -0.761%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.10%32.03%32.01%33.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.922.923.0535.71%34.22%34.19%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Lille (Visitante)

Predicción 40.85%2.45momio equitativo
EV -1.97%
Ventaja -0.821%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.09%40.86%40.81%41.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.302.302.4045.45%43.45%43.48%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.13%3.69momio equitativo
EV +2.55%
Ventaja +0.674%
Kelly +0.917%
Crecimiento +0.023%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.66%27.11%27.18%28.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.503.503.7830.30%28.58%28.57%26.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.92%EV -8.41%E -2.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.42%EV -1.97%E -0.821%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.66%EV +2.55%E +0.674%K +0.917%G +0.023%3.1%2026-02-26 17:40
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.44%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.89%EV -2.79%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.66%EV -0.979%E -0.268%K -0.369%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-26 17:30
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 32.44%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.89%EV -2.79%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.66%EV -0.979%E -0.268%K -0.369%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-26 17:30
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.44%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.89%EV -2.79%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.66%EV -0.979%E -0.268%K -0.369%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-26 17:30
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.27%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV -0.979%E -0.268%K -0.369%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-26 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.80%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -0.979%E -0.268%K -0.369%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 17:25
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.76%EV -2.32%E -0.761%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.40%EV -4.42%E -1.89%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.84%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 17:35
Parions Sport (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%EV -1.97%E -0.821%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-26 17:39
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.05%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.80%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 17:25
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.05%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.80%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 17:25
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.05%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.80%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 17:40
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.09%EV -1.97%E -0.821%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 16:10
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.09%EV -1.97%E -0.821%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 16:10
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:30
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 17:30
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 17:30
Bally Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 17:30
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 17:30
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 17:15
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 17:20
Suprabets2.96I 33.78%NM 32.00%EV -5.20%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.83%EV -4.23%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 17:37
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 31.82%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.89%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.30%EV -4.51%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 17:35
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.91%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.74%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 15:30
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.91%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.74%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 17:00
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 17:20
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 17:30
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.36%EV -7.28%E -3.21%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.36%EV -7.28%E -3.21%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:34
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:30
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:30
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:30
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:30
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 15:54
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-26 17:25
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.58%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -6.40%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 17:00
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.21%EV -3.20%E -1.35%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 17:10
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 17:10
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.80%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.61%EV -5.65%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 17:00
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 17:24
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 17:10
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 17:10
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 17:39
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:25
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-26 17:30
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 17:30
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-26 17:40
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-26 17:40
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-26 17:40
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-26 17:30
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-26 17:30
Fliff2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-26 17:35
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 16:50
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 17:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-02-26 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-02-26 17:40
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-02-26 17:35
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.36%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.5%2026-02-26 17:35