L’École des cotes

Red Star Belgrade v Lille

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-26 17:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Red Star Belgrade (Local)

Prévision 32.03%3.12cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -0.761%
Kelly -1.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.10%32.03%32.01%33.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.802.922.923.0535.71%34.22%34.19%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Lille (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.85%2.45cote équitable
EV -1.97%
Avantage -0.821%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.09%40.86%40.81%41.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.302.302.4045.45%43.45%43.48%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.13%3.69cote équitable
EV +2.55%
Avantage +0.674%
Kelly +0.917%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 3.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.66%27.11%27.18%28.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.503.503.7830.30%28.58%28.57%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.92%EV -8.41%E -2.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.42%EV -1.97%E -0.821%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.66%EV +2.55%E +0.674%K +0.917%G +0.023%3.1%2026-02-26 17:40
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.44%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.89%EV -2.79%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.66%EV -0.979%E -0.268%K -0.369%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-26 17:30
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 32.44%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.89%EV -2.79%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.66%EV -0.979%E -0.268%K -0.369%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-26 17:30
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.44%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.89%EV -2.79%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.66%EV -0.979%E -0.268%K -0.369%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-26 17:30
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.27%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV -0.979%E -0.268%K -0.369%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-26 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.80%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -0.979%E -0.268%K -0.369%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 17:25
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.76%EV -2.32%E -0.761%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.40%EV -4.42%E -1.89%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.84%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 17:35
Parions Sport (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%EV -1.97%E -0.821%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-26 17:39
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.05%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.80%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 17:25
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.05%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.80%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 17:25
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.05%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.80%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 17:40
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.09%EV -1.97%E -0.821%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 16:10
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.09%EV -1.97%E -0.821%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 16:10
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:30
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 17:30
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 17:30
Bally Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 17:30
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 17:30
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 17:15
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 17:20
Suprabets2.96I 33.78%NM 32.00%EV -5.20%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.83%EV -4.23%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 17:37
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 31.82%EV -3.28%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.89%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.30%EV -4.51%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 17:35
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.91%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.74%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 15:30
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.91%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.74%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 17:00
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 17:20
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 17:30
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.36%EV -7.28%E -3.21%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.36%EV -7.28%E -3.21%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:34
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:30
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:30
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:30
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:30
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 15:54
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-26 17:25
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.58%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -6.40%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 17:00
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.21%EV -3.20%E -1.35%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 17:10
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 17:10
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.80%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.61%EV -5.65%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 17:00
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 17:24
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 17:10
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 17:10
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 17:39
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:25
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-26 17:30
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 17:30
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-26 17:40
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-26 17:40
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-26 17:40
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-26 17:30
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-26 17:30
Fliff2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-26 17:35
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 16:50
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 17:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-02-26 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-02-26 17:40
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-02-26 17:35
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.36%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.5%2026-02-26 17:35