Language:English
Lillestrom v Real Sociedad
Head to Head
Lillestrom (Local)
Prediction 17.11%5.84fair odd
EV +2.68%
Edge +0.447%
Kelly +0.537%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.83%17.37%17.06%19.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.365.506.0021.74%18.65%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Real Sociedad (Visit)
Prediction 60.73%1.65fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -3.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.04%60.59%60.76%62.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.531.531.6168.03%65.26%65.36%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.16%4.51fair odd
EV -0.288%
Edge -0.064%
Kelly -0.082%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.08%22.04%22.18%22.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.194.204.5025.32%23.87%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Lillestrom (Local): 17.11%; Real Sociedad (Visit): 60.73%; Draw: 22.16%. For Lillestrom (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.84. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.00, producing a positive expected value of +2.68%.
Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +2.68%E +0.447%K +0.537%G +0.014% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -7.09%E -4.63%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV -4.05%E -0.936%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-15 23:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV +2.68%E +0.447%K +0.537%G +0.014% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -7.09%E -4.63%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -4.72%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-15 23:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -1.59%E -0.277%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -7.09%E -4.63%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -0.288%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 23:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -1.59%E -0.277%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.87%E -3.79%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -4.72%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-15 23:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -1.59%E -0.277%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.19%EV -5.87%E -3.79%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%EV -5.83%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-15 23:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -1.59%E -0.277%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.97%EV -7.09%E -4.63%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -2.50%E -0.569%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-15 23:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV -2.45%E -0.430%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.66%EV -10.12%E -6.84%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -2.50%E -0.569%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-15 23:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.56%EV -5.53%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.21%EV -2.23%E -1.38%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.23%EV -3.39%E -0.778%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-16 00:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -5.87%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.04%EV -7.69%E -5.06%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -6.94%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-15 23:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.87%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.91%E -5.94%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -4.05%E -0.936%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-15 23:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.87%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -7.69%E -5.06%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -9.15%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-15 23:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.56%EV -6.73%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.19%EV -3.44%E -2.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25%EV -4.72%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-15 23:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -11.01%E -2.12%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -9.15%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-15 23:15 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -14.43%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -5.87%E -3.79%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-15 23:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -14.43%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -6.48%E -4.21%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-15 23:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.43%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.91%E -5.94%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-15 23:37 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -14.43%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -8.91%E -5.94%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -12.47%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-15 23:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -14.43%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.19%EV -10.73%E -7.30%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-15 23:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -16.14%E -3.29%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%EV -6.48%E -4.21%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.94%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-15 23:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -18.71%E -3.94%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-15 23:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -21.27%E -4.62%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.62%EV -8.91%E -5.94%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -12.47%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-15 23:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.82% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.56% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 21.63% | 10.9% | 2026-10-16 01:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.41% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21% | 13.4% | 2026-10-15 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-10-16 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-10-16 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-10-16 00:35 |