Langue:Français
Lillestrom v Real Sociedad
Résultat du match
Lillestrom (Local)
Prévision 16.94%5.90cote équitable
EV +3.32%
Avantage +0.544%
Kelly +0.650%
Croissance +0.022%
avec la cote maximale 6.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.70%17.21%16.54%19.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.425.506.1021.74%18.45%18.18%16.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Real Sociedad (Visiteur)
Prévision 60.83%1.64cote équitable
EV -2.07%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -3.39%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.04%60.68%61.24%62.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.471.531.531.6168.03%65.19%65.36%62.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 22.24%4.50cote équitable
EV +0.067%
Avantage +0.015%
Kelly +0.019%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.08%22.11%22.22%22.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.954.194.204.5025.32%23.85%23.81%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Lillestrom (Local) : 16.94% ; Real Sociedad (Visiteur) : 60.83% ; Match nul : 22.24%. Pour Lillestrom (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 5.90. 4 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 6.10, pour une espérance positive de +3.32%.
Cotes des opérateurs (23 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.70%EV +3.32%E +0.544%K +0.650%G +0.022% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.77%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.53%EV -5.49%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-16 01:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +1.62%E +0.270%K +0.324%G +0.005% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -6.94%E -4.53%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV -3.71%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-15 23:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV +1.62%E +0.270%K +0.324%G +0.005% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -6.94%E -4.53%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -4.38%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-15 23:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.99%EV +0.775%E +0.130%K +0.157%G +0.001% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.37%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-16 01:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -2.61%E -0.454%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -6.94%E -4.53%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV +0.067%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 23:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -2.61%E -0.454%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -4.38%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-15 23:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -2.61%E -0.454%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.19%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%EV -5.49%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-15 23:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -2.61%E -0.454%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.97%EV -6.94%E -4.53%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -2.16%E -0.490%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-15 23:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV -3.46%E -0.607%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.66%EV -9.98%E -6.74%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -2.16%E -0.490%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-15 23:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.56%EV -6.51%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.21%EV -2.07%E -1.29%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.23%EV -3.05%E -0.699%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-16 00:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -6.85%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.04%EV -7.54%E -4.96%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-15 23:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -6.85%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.76%E -5.84%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -3.71%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-15 23:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -6.85%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -7.54%E -4.96%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -8.83%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-15 23:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.56%EV -7.69%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.19%EV -3.29%E -2.07%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25%EV -4.38%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-15 23:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -11.93%E -2.29%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.83%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-15 23:15 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -15.32%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-15 23:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -15.32%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -6.33%E -4.11%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-15 23:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.32%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.76%E -5.84%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-15 23:37 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -15.32%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -8.76%E -5.84%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-15 23:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -15.32%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.19%EV -10.59%E -7.20%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-15 23:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -17.01%E -3.47%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%EV -6.33%E -4.11%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-15 23:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -19.55%E -4.12%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-15 23:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -22.09%E -4.80%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.62%EV -8.76%E -5.84%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-15 23:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 16.82% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.74% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.43% | 6.9% | 2026-10-16 01:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.41% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21% | 13.4% | 2026-10-15 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-10-16 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-10-16 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-10-16 00:35 |