Idioma:Español
Lillestrom v Real Sociedad
Resultado del partido
Lillestrom (Local)
Predicción 16.94%5.90momio equitativo
EV +3.32%
Ventaja +0.544%
Kelly +0.650%
Crecimiento +0.022%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.70%17.21%16.54%19.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.605.425.506.1021.74%18.45%18.18%16.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Real Sociedad (Visitante)
Predicción 60.83%1.64momio equitativo
EV -2.07%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -3.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.04%60.68%61.24%62.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.471.531.531.6168.03%65.19%65.36%62.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.24%4.50momio equitativo
EV +0.067%
Ventaja +0.015%
Kelly +0.019%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.08%22.11%22.22%22.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.954.194.204.5025.32%23.85%23.81%22.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Lillestrom (Local): 16.94%; Real Sociedad (Visitante): 60.83%; Empate: 22.24%. Para Lillestrom (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 5.90. 4 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 6.10, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.32%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (23 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.70%EV +3.32%E +0.544%K +0.650%G +0.022% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.77%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.53%EV -5.49%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-16 01:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +1.62%E +0.270%K +0.324%G +0.005% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -6.94%E -4.53%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV -3.71%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-15 23:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV +1.62%E +0.270%K +0.324%G +0.005% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -6.94%E -4.53%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -4.38%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-15 23:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.99%EV +0.775%E +0.130%K +0.157%G +0.001% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.37%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-16 01:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -2.61%E -0.454%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -6.94%E -4.53%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV +0.067%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 23:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -2.61%E -0.454%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -4.38%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-15 23:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -2.61%E -0.454%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.19%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%EV -5.49%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-15 23:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -2.61%E -0.454%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.97%EV -6.94%E -4.53%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -2.16%E -0.490%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-15 23:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV -3.46%E -0.607%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.66%EV -9.98%E -6.74%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -2.16%E -0.490%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-15 23:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.56%EV -6.51%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.21%EV -2.07%E -1.29%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.23%EV -3.05%E -0.699%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-16 00:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -6.85%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.04%EV -7.54%E -4.96%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-15 23:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -6.85%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.76%E -5.84%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -3.71%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-15 23:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -6.85%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -7.54%E -4.96%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -8.83%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-15 23:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.56%EV -7.69%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.19%EV -3.29%E -2.07%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25%EV -4.38%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-15 23:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -11.93%E -2.29%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.83%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-15 23:15 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -15.32%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-15 23:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -15.32%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -6.33%E -4.11%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-15 23:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.32%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.76%E -5.84%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-15 23:37 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -15.32%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -8.76%E -5.84%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-15 23:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -15.32%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.19%EV -10.59%E -7.20%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-15 23:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -17.01%E -3.47%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%EV -6.33%E -4.11%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-15 23:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -19.55%E -4.12%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-15 23:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -22.09%E -4.80%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.62%EV -8.76%E -5.84%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-15 23:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 16.82% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.74% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.43% | 6.9% | 2026-10-16 01:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.41% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21% | 13.4% | 2026-10-15 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-10-16 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-10-16 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-10-16 00:35 |