Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.70
assuming max odds 2.85
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KRC Genk (Local): 36.78%; Dinamo Zagreb (Visit): 34.93%; Draw: 28.29%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.83%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -13.56%E -5.77%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV +1.83%E +0.508%K +0.703%G +0.013% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 13:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -13.56%E -5.77%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +0.415%E +0.117%K +0.163%G +0.001% | 7.8% | 2026-02-26 13:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.19%EV -4.00%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.67%EV -2.19%E -0.782%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -2.41%E -0.700%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.29%EV -1.79%E -0.672%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.62%EV -4.98%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09%EV -2.41%E -0.700%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -7.43%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -2.41%E -0.700%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.09%EV -3.26%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.22%EV -0.442%E -0.155%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.09%EV -3.26%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.22%EV -0.442%E -0.155%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.09%EV -3.26%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.22%EV -0.442%E -0.155%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.36%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.08%EV -0.442%E -0.155%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -1.79%E -0.672%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.23%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.32%EV -2.53%E -0.954%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.38%EV -4.98%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 19:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.32%EV -2.53%E -0.954%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.38%EV -4.98%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 19:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-26 19:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -8.13%E -3.09%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.99%EV -1.79%E -0.672%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.43%EV -4.39%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 19:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.99%EV -1.79%E -0.672%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.43%EV -4.39%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.08%EV -2.19%E -0.782%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.49%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 19:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 19:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.04%EV -10.22%E -3.98%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-26 19:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -9.18%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-26 19:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.68%EV -3.63%E -1.39%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.20%EV -1.84%E -0.655%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 19:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 19:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.07%EV -4.00%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.40%EV -7.08%E -2.66%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 19:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.31%EV -9.15%E -3.70%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -7.43%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.72%E -4.89%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.18%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-26 19:27 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -9.18%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.48%E -3.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -9.89%E -4.03%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -9.18%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-26 19:54 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.43%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -0.690%E -0.255%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -3.63%E -1.39%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -3.63%E -1.39%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-26 19:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -3.63%E -1.39%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.18%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -8.78%E -3.54%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.43%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -10.90%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -8.78%E -3.54%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.43%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -10.90%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.71% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.13% | 0.1% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.36% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06% | 0.4% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.88% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.06% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 0.4% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.88% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.06% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 0.4% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.65% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |