L’École des cotes

KRC Genk v Dinamo Zagreb

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-26 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

KRC Genk (Local)

Prévision 36.78%2.72cote équitable
EV -0.690%
Avantage -0.255%
Kelly -0.406%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.20%36.77%36.76%39.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.562.552.7042.55%39.13%39.22%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dinamo Zagreb (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.93%2.86cote équitable
EV -0.442%
Avantage -0.155%
Kelly -0.239%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.79%34.96%34.90%36.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.692.702.8540.00%37.11%37.04%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.29%3.54cote équitable
EV +1.83%
Avantage +0.508%
Kelly +0.703%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.03%28.28%28.34%29.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.323.303.6031.75%30.08%30.30%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -13.56%E -5.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV +1.83%E +0.508%K +0.703%G +0.013%6.7%2026-02-26 13:40
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -13.56%E -5.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +0.415%E +0.117%K +0.163%G +0.001%7.8%2026-02-26 13:45
1xBet2.61I 38.31%NM 37.19%EV -4.00%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.67%EV -2.19%E -0.782%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -2.41%E -0.700%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-26 19:55
Pinnacle2.67I 37.45%NM 36.29%EV -1.79%E -0.672%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.62%EV -4.98%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09%EV -2.41%E -0.700%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 19:50
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -7.43%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -2.41%E -0.700%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:55
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 37.09%EV -3.26%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.22%EV -0.442%E -0.155%K -0.239%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-26 19:35
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 37.09%EV -3.26%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.22%EV -0.442%E -0.155%K -0.239%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-26 19:35
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 37.09%EV -3.26%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.22%EV -0.442%E -0.155%K -0.239%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-26 19:35
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.36%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.08%EV -0.442%E -0.155%K -0.239%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-26 19:55
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -1.79%E -0.672%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.23%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 19:55
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.32%EV -2.53%E -0.954%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.38%EV -4.98%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 19:40
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 36.32%EV -2.53%E -0.954%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.38%EV -4.98%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 19:40
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 19:54
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 19:44
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 19:45
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -8.13%E -3.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 19:50
BetOnline.ag2.67I 37.45%NM 35.99%EV -1.79%E -0.672%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.43%EV -4.39%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 19:54
LowVig.ag2.67I 37.45%NM 35.99%EV -1.79%E -0.672%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.43%EV -4.39%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 19:55
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.08%EV -2.19%E -0.782%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.49%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 19:15
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 19:55
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 19:54
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 19:44
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.04%EV -10.22%E -3.98%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 19:54
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -9.18%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 19:54
Coolbet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.68%EV -3.63%E -1.39%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.20%EV -1.84%E -0.655%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 19:45
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:55
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:55
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:54
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:54
Bovada2.61I 38.31%NM 36.07%EV -4.00%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.40%EV -7.08%E -2.66%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 19:50
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 19:44
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 19:45
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 19:45
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 19:30
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 19:55
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 19:54
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 19:44
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 19:45
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 37.31%EV -9.15%E -3.70%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -7.43%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 19:44
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.72%E -4.89%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.18%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-26 19:27
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 19:35
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -9.18%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 19:55
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.48%E -3.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 19:44
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -9.89%E -4.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -9.18%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-26 19:50
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 19:54
Parions Sport (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.43%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-26 19:55
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -0.690%E -0.255%K -0.406%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 19:55
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -3.63%E -1.39%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-26 19:55
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -3.63%E -1.39%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-26 19:54
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -3.63%E -1.39%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-26 19:55
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.18%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-26 19:44
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -8.78%E -3.54%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.43%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -10.90%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-26 19:35
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -8.78%E -3.54%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.43%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -10.90%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-26 19:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.71%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.13%0.1%2026-02-26 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.36%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-02-26 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.88%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%0.4%2026-02-26 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.88%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%0.4%2026-02-26 19:55
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.65%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-02-26 19:55