La escuela de los momios

KRC Genk v Dinamo Zagreb

Inicio: 2026-02-26 20:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

KRC Genk (Local)

Predicción 36.78%2.72momio equitativo
EV -0.690%
Ventaja -0.255%
Kelly -0.406%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.20%36.77%36.76%39.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.562.552.7042.55%39.13%39.22%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dinamo Zagreb (Visitante)

Predicción 34.93%2.86momio equitativo
EV -0.442%
Ventaja -0.155%
Kelly -0.239%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.79%34.96%34.90%36.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.692.702.8540.00%37.11%37.04%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.29%3.54momio equitativo
EV +1.83%
Ventaja +0.508%
Kelly +0.703%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.03%28.28%28.34%29.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.323.303.6031.75%30.08%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -13.56%E -5.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV +1.83%E +0.508%K +0.703%G +0.013%6.7%2026-02-26 13:40
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -13.56%E -5.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +0.415%E +0.117%K +0.163%G +0.001%7.8%2026-02-26 13:45
1xBet2.61I 38.31%NM 37.19%EV -4.00%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.67%EV -2.19%E -0.782%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -2.41%E -0.700%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-26 19:55
Pinnacle2.67I 37.45%NM 36.29%EV -1.79%E -0.672%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.62%EV -4.98%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09%EV -2.41%E -0.700%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 19:50
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -7.43%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -2.41%E -0.700%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:55
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 37.09%EV -3.26%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.22%EV -0.442%E -0.155%K -0.239%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-26 19:35
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 37.09%EV -3.26%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.22%EV -0.442%E -0.155%K -0.239%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-26 19:35
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 37.09%EV -3.26%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.22%EV -0.442%E -0.155%K -0.239%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-26 19:35
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.36%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.08%EV -0.442%E -0.155%K -0.239%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-26 19:55
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -1.79%E -0.672%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.23%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 19:55
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.32%EV -2.53%E -0.954%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.38%EV -4.98%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 19:40
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 36.32%EV -2.53%E -0.954%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.38%EV -4.98%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 19:40
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 19:54
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 19:44
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 19:45
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -8.13%E -3.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 19:50
BetOnline.ag2.67I 37.45%NM 35.99%EV -1.79%E -0.672%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.43%EV -4.39%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 19:54
LowVig.ag2.67I 37.45%NM 35.99%EV -1.79%E -0.672%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.43%EV -4.39%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 19:55
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.08%EV -2.19%E -0.782%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.49%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 19:15
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 19:55
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 19:54
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 19:44
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.04%EV -10.22%E -3.98%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 19:54
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -9.18%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 19:54
Coolbet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.68%EV -3.63%E -1.39%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.20%EV -1.84%E -0.655%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 19:45
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:55
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:55
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:54
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:54
Bovada2.61I 38.31%NM 36.07%EV -4.00%E -1.53%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.40%EV -7.08%E -2.66%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 19:50
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 19:44
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 19:45
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 19:45
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 19:30
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 19:55
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 19:54
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 19:44
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 19:45
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 37.31%EV -9.15%E -3.70%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -7.43%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 19:44
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.72%E -4.89%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.18%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-26 19:27
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 19:35
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -9.18%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 19:55
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.48%E -3.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 19:44
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -9.89%E -4.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -9.18%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-26 19:50
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 19:54
Parions Sport (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.43%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-26 19:55
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -0.690%E -0.255%K -0.406%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 19:55
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -3.63%E -1.39%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-26 19:55
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -3.63%E -1.39%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-26 19:54
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -3.63%E -1.39%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-26 19:55
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.18%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-26 19:44
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -8.78%E -3.54%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.43%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -10.90%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-26 19:35
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -8.78%E -3.54%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.43%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -10.90%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-26 19:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.71%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.13%0.1%2026-02-26 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.36%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-02-26 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.88%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%0.4%2026-02-26 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.88%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%0.4%2026-02-26 19:55
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.65%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-02-26 19:55