Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ferencváros TC v PFC Ludogorets Razgrad

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 17:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ferencváros TC (Local)

Prediction 62.30%1.61fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.995%
Kelly -2.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.07%62.35%62.29%63.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.501.5869.44%66.19%66.67%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

PFC Ludogorets Razgrad (Visit)

Prediction 15.45%6.47fair odd
EV +5.04%
Edge +0.742%
Kelly +0.869%
Growth +0.044%

assuming max odds 6.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.26%15.37%15.48%16.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.066.006.8018.18%16.51%16.67%14.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.26%4.49fair odd
EV +0.153%
Edge +0.034%
Kelly +0.044%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.75%22.28%22.23%23.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.234.254.5025.00%23.62%23.53%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ferencváros TC (Local): 62.30%; PFC Ludogorets Razgrad (Visit): 15.45%; Draw: 22.26%. For PFC Ludogorets Razgrad (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.47. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.36%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.26%EV +5.04%E +0.742%K +0.869%G +0.044%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.39%EV -3.63%E -0.838%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 17:40
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.04%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.57I 15.22%NM 14.68%EV +1.49%E +0.227%K +0.267%G +0.004%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.28%EV -3.63%E -0.838%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 17:35
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.16%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.77%EV +0.409%E +0.063%K +0.074%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.07%EV -3.19%E -0.732%K -0.951%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 17:40
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.16%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.77%EV +0.409%E +0.063%K +0.074%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.07%EV -3.19%E -0.732%K -0.951%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.51%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.71%EV +0.409%E +0.063%K +0.074%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 17:30
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +0.409%E +0.063%K +0.074%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 17:30
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +0.409%E +0.063%K +0.074%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:39
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV +0.409%E +0.063%K +0.074%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 17:15
Suprabets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.68%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.79%EV -1.14%E -0.178%K -0.210%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 17:37
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.34%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.56%EV -3.45%E -0.553%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.10%EV -2.07%E -0.471%K -0.609%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-26 17:16
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.34%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.56%EV -3.45%E -0.553%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.10%EV -2.07%E -0.471%K -0.609%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-26 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.34%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.56%EV -3.45%E -0.553%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.10%EV -2.07%E -0.471%K -0.609%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-26 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.49%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.50%EV -3.45%E -0.553%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%EV -2.07%E -0.471%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 17:15
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -3.45%E -0.553%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -3.45%E -0.553%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:38
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.75%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.54%EV -4.23%E -0.682%K -0.813%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.72%EV -5.63%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.75%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.54%EV -4.23%E -0.682%K -0.813%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.72%EV -5.63%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 17:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.55%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.34%EV -4.23%E -0.682%K -0.813%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 17:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.46%EV -5.77%E -0.946%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -3.19%E -0.732%K -0.951%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:00
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:00
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:00
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:10
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 17:15
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 17:10
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 17:10
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.63%E -0.838%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 17:20
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 17:34
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:10
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:15
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 17:10
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 17:20
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 17:40
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 17:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:35
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:35
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.29%E -7.15%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-26 17:35
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.77%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.23%EV -8.86%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.01%EV -3.19%E -0.732%K -0.951%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 17:28
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.37%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -8.86%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:20
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.43%EV -1.57%E -0.995%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.56%EV -9.48%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 22.01%EV -1.85%E -0.419%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-26 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -10.40%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 17:00
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -10.40%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 17:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -10.40%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -7.64%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 17:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -10.40%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 17:23
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -11.18%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -2.07%E -0.471%K -0.609%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 17:15
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.74%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -11.18%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -2.07%E -0.471%K -0.609%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 17:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -8.42%E -5.73%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -11.18%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-26 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -8.42%E -5.73%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -11.18%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-26 17:16
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.34%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -11.95%E -2.10%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.07%E -0.471%K -0.609%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:20
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.38%EV -7.18%E -4.82%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -11.95%E -2.10%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.58%EV -9.86%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-26 17:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -13.49%E -2.41%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 17:20
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -15.04%E -2.73%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.75%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%0.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%0.6%2026-02-26 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%0.6%2026-02-26 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-02-26 17:40
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.17%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-02-26 17:40