La escuela de los momios

Ferencváros TC v PFC Ludogorets Razgrad

Inicio: 2026-02-26 17:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ferencváros TC (Local)

Predicción 62.30%1.61momio equitativo
EV -1.57%
Ventaja -0.995%
Kelly -2.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.07%62.35%62.29%63.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.511.501.5869.44%66.19%66.67%63.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

PFC Ludogorets Razgrad (Visitante)

Predicción 15.45%6.47momio equitativo
EV +5.04%
Ventaja +0.742%
Kelly +0.869%
Crecimiento +0.044%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.26%15.37%15.48%16.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.066.006.8018.18%16.51%16.67%14.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.26%4.49momio equitativo
EV +0.153%
Ventaja +0.034%
Kelly +0.044%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.75%22.28%22.23%23.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.234.254.5025.00%23.62%23.53%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 63.36%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.26%EV +5.04%E +0.742%K +0.869%G +0.044%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.39%EV -3.63%E -0.838%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 17:40
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.04%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.57I 15.22%NM 14.68%EV +1.49%E +0.227%K +0.267%G +0.004%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.28%EV -3.63%E -0.838%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 17:35
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.16%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.77%EV +0.409%E +0.063%K +0.074%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.07%EV -3.19%E -0.732%K -0.951%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 17:40
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 63.16%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.77%EV +0.409%E +0.063%K +0.074%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.07%EV -3.19%E -0.732%K -0.951%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 17:40
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.51%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.71%EV +0.409%E +0.063%K +0.074%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 17:30
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +0.409%E +0.063%K +0.074%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 17:30
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +0.409%E +0.063%K +0.074%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:39
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV +0.409%E +0.063%K +0.074%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 17:15
Suprabets1.51I 66.23%NM 62.68%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.79%EV -1.14%E -0.178%K -0.210%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 17:37
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.34%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.56%EV -3.45%E -0.553%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.10%EV -2.07%E -0.471%K -0.609%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-26 17:16
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.34%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.56%EV -3.45%E -0.553%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.10%EV -2.07%E -0.471%K -0.609%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-26 17:10
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 62.34%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.56%EV -3.45%E -0.553%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.10%EV -2.07%E -0.471%K -0.609%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-26 17:10
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.49%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.50%EV -3.45%E -0.553%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%EV -2.07%E -0.471%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 17:15
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -3.45%E -0.553%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -3.45%E -0.553%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:38
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.75%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.54%EV -4.23%E -0.682%K -0.813%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.72%EV -5.63%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 17:40
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.75%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.54%EV -4.23%E -0.682%K -0.813%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.72%EV -5.63%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 17:40
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.55%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.34%EV -4.23%E -0.682%K -0.813%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 17:24
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.46%EV -5.77%E -0.946%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -3.19%E -0.732%K -0.951%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:00
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:00
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:10
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 17:15
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 17:10
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 17:10
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.23%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 17:10
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.63%E -0.838%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 17:20
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 17:34
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:10
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:10
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:15
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 17:10
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 17:20
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 17:40
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 17:20
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:35
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:35
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:35
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:35
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.29%E -7.15%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.32%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -10.97%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-26 17:35
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.77%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.23%EV -8.86%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.01%EV -3.19%E -0.732%K -0.951%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 17:28
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.37%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -8.86%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:20
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 61.43%EV -1.57%E -0.995%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.56%EV -9.48%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 22.01%EV -1.85%E -0.419%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-26 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -10.40%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 17:00
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -10.40%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 17:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -10.40%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -7.64%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 17:20
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -10.40%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 17:23
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -11.18%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -2.07%E -0.471%K -0.609%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 17:15
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 62.74%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -11.18%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -2.07%E -0.471%K -0.609%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 17:15
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -8.42%E -5.73%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -11.18%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-26 17:10
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -8.42%E -5.73%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -11.18%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-26 17:16
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.34%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -11.95%E -2.10%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.07%E -0.471%K -0.609%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:20
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 61.38%EV -7.18%E -4.82%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -11.95%E -2.10%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.58%EV -9.86%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-26 17:20
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -13.49%E -2.41%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -4.30%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 17:20
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -15.04%E -2.73%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.75%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%0.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%0.6%2026-02-26 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%0.6%2026-02-26 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-02-26 17:40
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.17%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-02-26 17:40